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Stadium Background

Shmona vs Sakhnin - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Israel Israel

Ligat ha'Al Kiryat Shmona Municipal Stadium, Kiryat Shmona
Sat, Oct 24, 2026
VS
03:45 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Shmona host Sakhnin in the Ligat ha'Al. Recent form is the clearest guide to this one. Recent numbers: Shmona at 1.46 goals for, 1.46 against; Sakhnin at 0.52 for, 1.45 against. Past meetings favor Shmona slightly — 3-1-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Aug 4, 2026, ending 1:0. The numbers (1.25 xG vs 1.13) point toward Shmona. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Shmona
15%
Draws
49%
Sakhnin
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sakhnin

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Shmona have won more games recently than Sakhnin.
  • 49% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.8%
Shmona Clean Sheet 20%
Sakhnin Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Shmona Sakhnin
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 12 5
Draws 4 7
Losses 12 17
Goals Scored 1.46 0.52
Goals Conceded 1.46 1.45
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 4, 2026 Toto Cup
Shmona vs Sakhnin
1:0
May 13, 2026 Ligat ha'Al
Sakhnin vs Shmona
0:4
Apr 4, 2026 Ligat ha'Al
Shmona vs Sakhnin
2:0
Dec 2, 2025 Ligat ha'Al
Sakhnin vs Shmona
1:1
Aug 6, 2025 Toto Cup
Sakhnin vs Shmona
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Shmona 32 / 100
Sakhnin 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Shmona Sakhnin

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sakhnin Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Shmona scored in 82% of their last 28 outings.

Defensive concern: Sakhnin conceded in 69% of 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Sakhnin's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Shmona VS Sakhnin
1.25 Goals Scored 0.5
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 38%
63% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Shmona

(Home)
10 Oct
Shmona
1 : 3
Hapoel Tel Aviv
19 Sept
H. Beer Sheva
1 : 0
Shmona
14 Sept
Shmona
0 : 4
Maccabi Haifa
05 Sept
Hapoel Jerusalem
4 : 2
Shmona
29 Aug
Shmona
2 : 0
Ironi Tiberias
Page 1 of 6

Sakhnin

(Away)
10 Oct
Maccabi Tel Aviv
0 : 0
Sakhnin
19 Sept
Sakhnin
1 : 0
Hapoel Ramat Gan
14 Sept
Hapoel Haifa
3 : 1
Sakhnin
07 Sept
Sakhnin
0 : 1
Beitar Jerusalem
29 Aug
Sakhnin
1 : 2
Maccabi Petah Tikva
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Maccabi Tel Aviv 6 5 1 0 18:6 16
2 Maccabi Haifa 6 5 0 1 16:8 15
3 Hapoel Tel Aviv 6 4 1 1 14:5 13
4 H. Beer Sheva 6 4 1 1 10:7 13
5 Beitar Jerusalem 6 4 0 2 11:9 12
6 Hapoel Haifa 6 2 3 1 9:7 9
7 Hapoel Jerusalem 6 2 1 3 13:16 7
8 Netanya 6 1 3 2 7:7 6
9 Maccabi Petah Tikva 6 2 0 4 9:13 6
10 Sakhnin 6 1 2 3 3:6 5
11 Hapoel Petah Tikva 6 1 1 4 3:9 4
12 Shmona 6 1 0 5 6:14 3
13 Hapoel Ramat Gan 6 1 0 5 4:13 3
14 Ironi Tiberias 6 2 1 3 7:10 1
Promotion - Ligat ha'Al (Championship Group)
Relegation - Ligat ha'Al (Relegation Group)