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Sholing vs Chertsey Town - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

Southern League Premier South
Our Tip

Match Events

29' Event
Taylor H.
34' Event
Willard T.
51' Event
Berry D.

AI Match Summary

The Southern League Premier South game between Sholing and Chertsey Town finished 2-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Chertsey Town.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Sholing
15%
Draws
39%
Chertsey Town
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sholing

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Chertsey Town come out ahead of Sholing on wins alone.
  • Model gives Sholing a 36% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Sholing Clean Sheet 20%
Chertsey Town Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sholing Chertsey Town
Matches Played 26 27
Wins 13 15
Draws 4 5
Losses 9 7
Goals Scored 1.42 2.04
Goals Conceded 1.12 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 22, 2026 Southern League Premier South
Sholing vs Chertsey Town
2:4
Mar 14, 2026 Southern League Premier South
Sholing vs Chertsey Town
4:0
Oct 21, 2025 Southern League Premier South
Chertsey Town vs Sholing
1:1
Feb 15, 2025 Southern League Premier South
Sholing vs Chertsey Town
3:0
Oct 22, 2024 Southern League Premier South
Chertsey Town vs Sholing
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sholing Compare

Top Goalscorer Taylor H.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Willard T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

Chertsey Town Compare

Top Goalscorer Berry D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Lodge A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sholing 36 / 100
Chertsey Town 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sholing Chertsey Town

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sholing found the back of the net in 88% of recent matches (26 games).

Chertsey Town's defensive record shows goals conceded in 81% of 27 matches.

Games between these two average 3.80 goals.

Recent resilience: Sholing stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sholing VS Chertsey Town
0.75 Goals Scored 2
0.13 Goals Conceded 1.13
25% Over 1.5 75%
13% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Sholing

(Home)
03 Oct
Ebbsfleet
1 : 2
Sholing
29 Sept
Sholing
2 : 0
Berkhamsted Town
26 Sept
Yate
0 : 1
Sholing
19 Sept
Tiverton
0 : 1
Sholing
12 Sept
Sholing
1 : 3
Plymouth Parkway
Page 1 of 6

Chertsey Town

(Away)
03 Oct
Sheppey United
0 : 2
Chertsey Town
29 Sept
Chertsey Town
1 : 3
Poole Town
26 Sept
Welling
2 : 3
Chertsey Town
22 Sept
Chichester City
2 : 2
Chertsey Town
19 Sept
Chertsey Town
3 : 2
A.F.C. Greenwich Borough
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Poole Town 10 7 0 3 17:12 21
2 Plymouth Parkway 9 6 2 1 23:8 20
3 Uxbridge 9 6 2 1 19:8 20
4 Hanworth Villa 9 6 1 2 17:8 19
5 Bath City 9 5 2 2 13:8 17
6 Frome Town 10 4 3 3 17:13 15
7 Chertsey Town 9 4 2 3 20:15 14
8 Taunton Town 9 4 1 4 23:22 13
9 Chichester City 9 4 1 4 14:16 13
10 Evesham 9 4 1 4 14:17 13
11 Berkhamsted Town 10 4 1 5 11:14 13
12 Wimborne 8 3 3 2 10:4 12
13 Gosport Borough 10 3 3 4 13:13 12
14 Yate 9 3 3 3 13:18 12
15 Bracknell Town 9 3 2 4 11:18 11
16 Sholing 8 3 1 4 9:12 10
17 Basingstoke 9 2 3 4 14:16 9
18 Hanwell Town 8 1 4 3 7:10 7
19 Gloucester City 9 1 4 4 12:17 7
20 Chippenham Town 8 2 1 5 7:16 7
21 Havant & Waterlooville 9 1 2 6 9:16 5
22 Malvern Town 9 1 2 6 13:25 5
Promotion - National League South 2027/2028 (Main)
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Promotion - Southern League Premier South (Play Offs)