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Sholing vs Tiverton

England England

Southern League Premier South 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Billington G.
27' Event
Wylie R.
77' Event
Tume V.

AI Match Summary

Sholing in this Southern League Premier South 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sholing.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Sholing
15%
Draws
57%
Tiverton
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Tiverton

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Sholing have won more games recently than Tiverton.
  • Model gives Tiverton a 57% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Southern League Premier South 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 26%
Over 4.5 Goals 12%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Sholing Clean Sheet 17%
Tiverton Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sholing Tiverton
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 12 7
Draws 7 1
Losses 9 21
Goals Scored 1.57 1
Goals Conceded 1.32 2.55
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.41
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 3, 2026 Southern League Premier South
Sholing vs Tiverton
2:1
Aug 23, 2025 Southern League Premier South
Tiverton vs Sholing
0:1
Feb 1, 2025 Southern League Premier South
Sholing vs Tiverton
1:0
Oct 19, 2024 Southern League Premier South
Tiverton vs Sholing
3:3
Apr 27, 2024 Southern League Premier South
Tiverton vs Sholing
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sholing Compare

Top Goalscorer Wylie R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Tume V.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Tiverton Compare

Top Goalscorer Billington G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.28
Avg xA / game 0.78

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sholing 28 / 100
Tiverton 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sholing Tiverton

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tiverton Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sholing scored in 86% of their last 28 games.

Defensive concern: Tiverton conceded in 86% of 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Sholing stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sholing VS Tiverton
1.63 Goals Scored 1.57
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.14
63% Over 1.5 86%
63% Over 2.5 71%
38% Over 3.5 14%

Recent Form & Match History

Sholing

(Home)
12 Sept
Sholing
1 : 3
Plymouth Parkway
05 Sept
Sholing
2 : 0
Andover New Street
31 Aug
Sholing
1 : 0
Gosport Borough
29 Aug
Bracknell Town
3 : 1
Sholing
22 Aug
Sholing
2 : 4
Chertsey Town
Page 1 of 6

Tiverton

(Away)
12 Sept
Tiverton
3 : 0
Larkhall
05 Sept
St. Blazey
1 : 2
Tiverton
29 Aug
Bideford
1 : 2
Tiverton
18 Jul
Tiverton
2 : 0
Brixham
25 Apr
Tiverton
0 : 3
Farnham
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Walton & Hersham 42 29 5 8 94:42 92
2 Farnham 42 25 9 8 90:50 84
3 Gloucester City 42 25 7 10 93:51 82
4 Poole Town 42 21 12 9 80:50 75
5 Berkhamsted Town 42 21 9 12 62:50 72
6 Sholing 42 18 15 9 74:53 69
7 Chertsey Town 42 19 10 13 64:55 67
8 Gosport Borough 42 19 6 17 74:75 63
9 Uxbridge 42 15 14 13 74:70 59
10 Havant & Waterlooville 42 17 7 18 78:70 58
11 Plymouth Parkway 42 16 8 18 64:79 56
12 Bracknell Town 42 15 10 17 70:71 55
13 Yate 42 14 10 18 57:62 52
14 Hanwell Town 42 14 10 18 57:63 52
15 Wimborne 42 12 15 15 63:62 51
16 Taunton Town 42 14 9 19 65:70 51
17 Basingstoke 42 14 9 19 61:71 51
18 Evesham 42 11 14 17 51:62 47
19 Weymouth 42 13 8 21 53:71 47
20 Dorchester 42 9 13 20 48:79 40
21 Hungerford 42 9 11 22 47:87 38
22 Tiverton 42 5 3 34 39:115 18
Promotion - National League South (Main)
Promotion - Southern League Premier South 2025/2026 (Play Offs)