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Shonan Bellmare vs Iwaki - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Japan Japan

J2 League Lemon Gas Stadium, Hiratsuka
Wed, Oct 21, 2026
VS
10:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Shonan Bellmare host Iwaki in the J2 League. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Iwaki have shipped 1.46 goals a game lately, while Shonan Bellmare have conceded 1.25 and scored 1.29. Past meetings favor Iwaki slightly — 0-1-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 30, 2026, ending 1:2. The numbers (1.38 xG vs 1.44) point toward Iwaki. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Shonan Bellmare
30%
Draws
35%
Iwaki
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Iwaki come out ahead of Shonan Bellmare on wins alone.
  • Shonan Bellmare are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Shonan Bellmare Clean Sheet 16%
Iwaki Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Shonan Bellmare Iwaki
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 13 14
Draws 5 0
Losses 10 14
Goals Scored 1.29 1.36
Goals Conceded 1.25 1.46
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 30, 2026 J2/J3 League
Shonan Bellmare vs Iwaki
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Shonan Bellmare 48 / 100
Iwaki 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Shonan Bellmare Iwaki

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Shonan Bellmare Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Shonan Bellmare scored in 82% of their last 28 outings.

Iwaki let in goals in 79% of their last 28 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Shonan Bellmare stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Shonan Bellmare VS Iwaki
1.38 Goals Scored 0.88
2 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Shonan Bellmare

(Home)
11 Oct
Shonan Bellmare
1 : 1
Albirex Niigata
07 Oct
FC Tokyo
4 : 0
Shonan Bellmare
03 Oct
Fujieda MYFC
1 : 1
Shonan Bellmare
26 Sept
Imabari
1 : 2
Shonan Bellmare
19 Sept
Shonan Bellmare
1 : 1
Blaublitz
Page 1 of 6

Iwaki

(Away)
11 Oct
Iwaki
1 : 0
Blaublitz
07 Oct
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
4 : 0
Iwaki
04 Oct
Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo
2 : 1
Iwaki
26 Sept
Iwaki
0 : 2
Vegalta Sendai
19 Sept
Sagan Tosu
1 : 3
Iwaki
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vegalta Sendai 10 7 2 1 18:8 23
2 Omiya Ardija 10 5 5 0 20:9 20
3 Albirex Niigata 10 6 2 2 14:14 20
4 Toyama 10 5 3 2 19:10 18
5 Yokohama FC 10 5 2 3 19:13 17
6 Shonan Bellmare 10 4 5 1 11:9 17
7 Oita Trinita 10 3 5 2 11:8 14
8 Fujieda MYFC 10 3 4 3 13:11 13
9 Blaublitz 10 3 4 3 12:11 13
10 Tegevajaro Miyazaki 10 3 4 3 14:14 13
11 Iwata 10 4 1 5 12:13 13
12 Tokushima 10 4 1 5 10:12 13
13 Montedio Yamagata 10 4 0 6 11:9 12
14 Iwaki 10 4 0 6 13:17 12
15 Sagan Tosu 10 3 2 5 9:12 11
16 Tochigi City 10 3 1 6 16:17 10
17 Imabari 10 3 1 6 11:19 10
18 Kofu 10 3 1 6 9:18 10
19 Vanraure 10 3 1 6 6:17 10
20 Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo 10 2 2 6 12:19 8
Promotion - J1 League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - J2 League (Promotion)
Relegation - J3 League 2027/2028 (Main)