Sport Picks
Shonan Bellmare vs Montedio Yamagata - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Japan
J2 League Lemon Gas Stadium, Hiratsuka 
Match Events
31'
31'
Sub
Disaro A. S. In: Mori K.
Out: Disaro A. S.
46'
46'
Sub
Kokubu S. In: Kawana R.
Out: Kokubu S.
57'
57'
Sub
Terayama T. In: Nodake H.
Out: Terayama T.
AI Match Summary
The J2 League game between Shonan Bellmare and Montedio Yamagata finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Shonan Bellmare.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
58%
20%
22%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Shonan Bellmare
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
20%
/ Low Confidence
- Shonan Bellmare carry the better recent record into this one.
- 36% — that's where the model lands on Shonan Bellmare taking it.
- Regular J2 League form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Shonan Bellmare Clean Sheet 15%
Montedio Yamagata Clean Sheet 11%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Shonan Bellmare | Montedio Yamagata |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 29 |
| Wins | 14 | 11 |
| Draws | 4 | 0 |
| Losses | 10 | 18 |
| Goals Scored | 1.32 | 1.28 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.25 | 1.45 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.25 | 1.56 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 15, 2026 J2 League
Shonan Bellmare vs Montedio Yamagata
1:0
May 24, 2026 J2/J3 League
Montedio Yamagata vs Shonan Bellmare
3:1
Mar 14, 2026 J2/J3 League
Shonan Bellmare vs Montedio Yamagata
2:1
Jul 22, 2017 J2 League
Montedio Yamagata vs Shonan Bellmare
3:0
May 27, 2017 J2 League
Shonan Bellmare vs Montedio Yamagata
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Shonan Bellmare Compare
Top Goalscorer Hakamata Y.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63
Montedio Yamagata Compare
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Shonan Bellmare 35 / 100
Montedio Yamagata 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Shonan Bellmare Montedio Yamagata
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Shonan Bellmare scored in 82% of their last 28 outings.
Montedio Yamagata let in goals in 72% of their last 29 matches.
H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.
Solid form: Shonan Bellmare remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Shonan Bellmare VS Montedio Yamagata
1.38 Goals Scored 1.13
2 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Shonan Bellmare
(Home) 07 Oct
FC Tokyo
4 : 0 Shonan Bellmare
03 Oct
Fujieda MYFC
1 : 1 Shonan Bellmare
26 Sept
Imabari
1 : 2 Shonan Bellmare
19 Sept
Shonan Bellmare
1 : 1 Blaublitz
12 Sept
Vanraure
0 : 1 Shonan Bellmare
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Shonan Bellmare
1 : 1 Blaublitz
05 Sept
Shonan Bellmare
1 : 3 Vegalta Sendai
26 Aug
Shonan Bellmare
1 : 0 Reinmeer Aomori
15 Aug
Shonan Bellmare
1 : 0 Montedio Yamagata
30 May
Shonan Bellmare
1 : 2 Iwaki
Page 1 of 3
Montedio Yamagata
(Away) 03 Oct
Oita Trinita
2 : 1 Montedio Yamagata
29 Sept
Montedio Yamagata
1 : 2 Yokohama F. Marinos
26 Sept
Montedio Yamagata
2 : 0 Sagan Tosu
19 Sept
Montedio Yamagata
0 : 2 Toyama
13 Sept
Albirex Niigata
1 : 0 Montedio Yamagata
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
Oita Trinita
2 : 1 Montedio Yamagata
13 Sept
Albirex Niigata
1 : 0 Montedio Yamagata
09 Sept
Tochigi SC
0 : 1 Montedio Yamagata
29 Aug
Imabari
0 : 3 Montedio Yamagata
15 Aug
Shonan Bellmare
1 : 0 Montedio Yamagata
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Omiya Ardija | 10 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 20:9 | 20 |
| 2 | Vegalta Sendai | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 17:8 | 20 |
| 3 | Albirex Niigata | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 13:13 | 19 |
| 4 | Toyama | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 18:9 | 17 |
| 5 | Yokohama FC | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 19:13 | 17 |
| 6 | Shonan Bellmare | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 10:8 | 16 |
| 7 | Oita Trinita | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 11:8 | 14 |
| 8 | Fujieda MYFC | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 13:11 | 13 |
| 9 | Blaublitz | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 12:10 | 13 |
| 10 | Iwata | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 12:13 | 13 |
| 11 | Tokushima | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 10:12 | 13 |
| 12 | Montedio Yamagata | 9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 11:8 | 12 |
| 13 | Tegevajaro Miyazaki | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 13:13 | 12 |
| 14 | Sagan Tosu | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 9:12 | 11 |
| 15 | Tochigi City | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 16:17 | 10 |
| 16 | Imabari | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 11:19 | 10 |
| 17 | Kofu | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 9:18 | 10 |
| 18 | Vanraure | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 6:17 | 10 |
| 19 | Iwaki | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 12:17 | 9 |
| 20 | Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 12:19 | 8 |
Promotion - J1 League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - J2 League (Promotion)
Relegation - J3 League 2027/2028 (Main)
