Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Shortan Guzor vs OKMK

Uzbekistan Uzbekistan

Super League 2025 Stadion Guzor, Guzar
Our Tip

Match Events

27'
Khasanov N.
40' Event
Giyosov K.
Assist: Kholmurodov A.
45'
Kholmurodov A.

AI Match Summary

Shortan Guzor in this Super League 2025 matchup, with the score ending 4-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Shortan Guzor.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
Shortan Guzor
15%
Draws
40%
OKMK
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Shortan Guzor

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to OKMK lately — more wins on the board than Shortan Guzor.
  • Shortan Guzor are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Regular Super League 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Shortan Guzor Clean Sheet 17%
OKMK Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Shortan Guzor OKMK
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 11 12
Draws 7 7
Losses 11 9
Goals Scored 1.38 1.57
Goals Conceded 1.52 1.39
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 31, 2025 Super League
Shortan Guzor vs OKMK
4:3
Jun 14, 2025 Super League
OKMK vs Shortan Guzor
0:0
Nov 4, 2017 Super League
OKMK vs Shortan Guzor
3:1
May 27, 2017 Super League
Shortan Guzor vs OKMK
0:1
Oct 22, 2016 Super League
OKMK vs Shortan Guzor
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Shortan Guzor Compare

Top Goalscorer Kholdorkhonov P.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Turdialiev A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

OKMK Compare

Top Goalscorer Giyosov K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Abdurakhmonov A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Shortan Guzor 48 / 100
OKMK 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Shortan Guzor OKMK

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Shortan Guzor Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

OKMK's defensive record shows goals conceded in 82% of 28 matches.

Shortan Guzor's goal record stands at 72% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Shortan Guzor went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Shortan Guzor VS OKMK
1.63 Goals Scored 1.63
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Shortan Guzor

(Home)
15 Aug
Shortan Guzor
1 : 0
Kattaqurgon
10 Aug
Olimpik-Mobiuz
0 : 0
Shortan Guzor
05 Aug
BuxDu
2 : 4
Shortan Guzor
30 Jul
Shortan Guzor
2 : 1
Respublika FA
24 Jul
Aral
3 : 1
Shortan Guzor
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OKMK

(Away)
13 Aug
Buxoro
2 : 0
OKMK
08 Aug
Bunyodkor
2 : 3
OKMK
03 Aug
OKMK
1 : 2
Nasaf Qarshi
27 Jul
OKMK
2 : 1
Mashal Muborak
22 Jul
Kokand 1912
1 : 4
OKMK
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Neftchi Fargona 30 19 7 4 49:24 64
2 Pakhtakor 30 18 6 6 59:23 60
3 Nasaf Qarshi 30 16 11 3 51:23 59
4 Din. Samarkand 30 16 10 4 47:30 58
5 Bunyodkor 30 13 10 7 48:40 49
6 OKMK 30 14 6 10 44:34 48
7 Navbahor Namangan 30 10 10 10 41:37 40
8 Sogdiana 30 10 7 13 37:37 37
9 Qizilqum 30 9 9 12 28:44 36
10 Termez Surkhon 30 9 8 13 26:30 35
11 Andijan 30 9 8 13 39:51 35
12 Kokand 1912 30 9 7 14 24:39 34
13 Mashal Muborak 30 8 6 16 22:48 30
14 Buxoro 30 6 9 15 30:49 27
15 Xorazm Urganch 30 7 6 17 33:39 27
16 Shortan Guzor 30 3 8 19 27:57 17
Promotion - AFC Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 (Main)
Relegation - Super League 2025 (Relegation)
Relegation - Pro Liga (Main)