Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Shortan Guzor vs Pakhtakor II

Uzbekistan Uzbekistan

Pro Liga Stadion Guzor, Guzar
Our Tip

Match Events

25' Event
Saidmurodov B.
Own Goal
46' Event
Suvonov B.

AI Match Summary

The Pro Liga game between Shortan Guzor and Pakhtakor II finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Shortan Guzor.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Shortan Guzor
15%
Draws
21%
Pakhtakor II
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Shortan Guzor

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Pakhtakor II haven't matched Shortan Guzor's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Shortan Guzor a 64% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Shortan Guzor have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Shortan Guzor Clean Sheet 20%
Pakhtakor II Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Shortan Guzor Pakhtakor II
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 14 5
Draws 6 3
Losses 10 22
Goals Scored 1.6 1
Goals Conceded 1.3 2.23
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 21, 2026 Pro Liga
Pakhtakor II vs Shortan Guzor
0:4
May 5, 2026 Pro Liga
Shortan Guzor vs Pakhtakor II
2:0
Oct 26, 2014 Pro Liga
Shortan Guzor vs Pakhtakor II
2:0
Aug 19, 2014 Pro Liga
Pakhtakor II vs Shortan Guzor
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Shortan Guzor Compare

Top Goalscorer Suvonov B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Pakhtakor II Compare

Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Shortan Guzor 85 / 100
Pakhtakor II 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Shortan Guzor Pakhtakor II

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Shortan Guzor Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Pakhtakor II conceded in 97% of 30 recent games.

Shortan Guzor scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

H2H data points to 2.75 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Shortan Guzor remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Shortan Guzor VS Pakhtakor II
1.13 Goals Scored 0.88
1.5 Goals Conceded 2.13
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Shortan Guzor

(Home)
21 Sept
Pakhtakor II
0 : 4
Shortan Guzor
12 Sept
Shortan Guzor
3 : 0
TerDU
06 Sept
Yaypan
1 : 4
Shortan Guzor
29 Aug
Shortan Guzor
0 : 1
FC Lochin
22 Aug
FarDU
3 : 1
Shortan Guzor
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Pakhtakor II

(Away)
21 Sept
Pakhtakor II
0 : 4
Shortan Guzor
12 Sept
Jayxun
2 : 0
Pakhtakor II
07 Sept
Metallurg Bekabad
1 : 0
Pakhtakor II
28 Aug
Pakhtakor II
3 : 0
TerDU
20 Aug
Yaypan
2 : 0
Pakhtakor II
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Aral 20 15 4 1 42:13 49
2 Shortan Guzor 20 13 3 4 35:19 42
3 Metallurg Bekabad 20 12 4 4 46:16 40
4 FarDU 20 11 6 3 37:27 39
5 Kattaqurgon 19 10 3 6 24:17 33
6 FC Lochin 20 9 5 6 26:23 32
7 Gazalkent 20 9 5 6 36:23 32
8 Olimpik-Mobiuz 18 9 4 5 34:20 31
9 Jayxun 20 7 3 10 22:25 24
10 Yaypan 20 6 4 10 23:37 22
11 Respublika FA 19 6 4 9 25:29 22
12 BuxDu 20 3 1 16 16:48 10
13 Pakhtakor II 20 3 1 16 13:46 10
14 TerDU 20 1 1 18 12:48 4
Promotion - Super League 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Pro Liga (Promotion)