Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Shorts vs Dunloy

Northern Ireland Northern Ireland

Irish Cup 2016/2017
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

This match ends 8-0, with Shorts advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Shorts
15%
Draws
51%
Dunloy
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Dunloy

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Dunloy carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Dunloy are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Dunloy arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Shorts, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 82%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 82%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Shorts Clean Sheet 10%
Dunloy Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Shorts Dunloy
Matches Played 11 12
Wins 4 7
Draws 0 0
Losses 7 5
Goals Scored 2.64 1.92
Goals Conceded 3.45 2.42
Expected Goals (xG) 2.88 2.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 1, 2016 Irish Cup
Shorts vs Dunloy
8:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Shorts 10 / 100
Dunloy 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Shorts Dunloy

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Dunloy Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Shorts found the back of the net in 82% of recent matches (11 games).

Games between these two average 8.00 goals.

Dunloy's defensive record shows goals conceded in 75% of 12 matches.

Recent resilience: Shorts stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Shorts VS Dunloy
3 Goals Scored 2.13
3.13 Goals Conceded 2.75
100% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 75%
75% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Shorts

(Home)
28 Sept
Islandmagee
5 : 2
Shorts
03 Nov
Shorts
1 : 3
Abbey Villa
29 Sept
Colin Valley
3 : 4
Shorts
18 Aug
Silverwood
1 : 8
Shorts
19 Aug
Crumlin Star
9 : 1
Shorts
Page 1 of 3

Dunloy

(Away)
28 Sept
Armagh
2 : 1
Dunloy
17 Aug
Tullyvallen Rangers
2 : 3
Dunloy
01 Dec
Dunloy
0 : 2
Larne Technical Old Boys
03 Nov
Lurgan Town Boys
1 : 2
Dunloy
29 Sept
Dunloy
2 : 0
Armagh
Page 1 of 3

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/256-finals
Dungannon -
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Dergview -
Richhill -
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Nortel -
St. Marys -
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Donegal 1
Oxford Stars 3
Glebe 4
Iveagh Utd 0
Portaferry Rovers 2
Silverwood 3
Rathfriland Rangers 4
Moyola 3
Craigavon City 1
Grove 6
Sport & Leisure 3
Ballynahinch Olympic 2
Markethill 4
St. Patricks Young 5
Lurgan Town Boys 2
Laurelvale 1
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Ards Rangers -
Abbey Villa 5
Holywood 0
Saintfield 0
Dungiven 1
Newbuildings -
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Dollingstown -
Crewe 5
Chimney 0
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Ardglass -
Crumlin United 4
Shankill 0
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Ballymoney -
Sofia Farmer 2
Lower Maze 1
Banbridge 0
Limavady 2
Donard -
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Tullyvallen Rangers 0
Windmill 5
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Ards -
Lisburn Distillery 4
Rosario Youth 0
Dromore Amateurs 0
Queens University 14
Ballynure Old Boys 4
Foundry 1
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Lisburn Rangers -
Comber Rec 4
Brantwood 3
Ballywalter Recreation 1
Ardstraw 2
Mossley FC -
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St Luke's -
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Linfield -
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Carrick Rangers -
Annagh -
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Shorts -
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Wellington Rec 0
Dunloy 3
Strabane Athletic -
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Dundonald 2
East Belfast 5
Wakehurst -
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Larne Technical Old Boys -
Desertmartin 2
Newcastle 0
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Tobermore -
Harland & Wolff -
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Lurgan Celtic -
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Larne -
Fivemiletown -
Killymoon -
Hanover 2
Sirocco 3
Newry City 7
Oxford Sunnyside 0
Bangor FC 2
Newington FC 3
Downshire Y.M. 4
Rathfern Rangers 0
Dungannon Rovers 0
U. U. Jordanstown 4
Barn -
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Dundela -
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Loughgall -
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Drumaness -
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Bloomfield 3
Seapatrick 4
Camlough -
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Dromara -
18th Newtownabbey Old Boys -
Bangor Amateurs FC -
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Ballynahinch United -
Crumlin Star -
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Immaculata 1
Trojans 3
Portstewart -
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Magherafelt 1
Moneyslane FC 6
Islandmagee 4
Ballymacash 1
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Killyleagh Youth -
Valley Rangers 3
Newtowne FC 1
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Seagoe -
Coagh Utd 2
Malachians 1
Banbridge Rangers 4
Derriaghy 5
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Glenavon -
1/128-finals
Dungannon -
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Dergview -
Richhill -
Nortel -
St. Marys 4
Oxford Stars 5
Glebe 3
Silverwood 2
Rathfriland Rangers 4
Grove 5
Sport & Leisure 2
St. Patricks Young 1
Lurgan Town Boys 0
Ards Rangers 2
Abbey Villa 4
Dungiven 1
Newbuildings 2
Dollingstown 4
Crewe 5
Ardglass 1
Crumlin United 2
Ballymoney 3
Sofia Farmer 2
Limavady 0
Donard -
Windmill -
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Knockbreda -
Ballinamallard -
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Ards -
Lisburn Distillery 1
Queens University 0
Ballynure Old Boys 2
Lisburn Rangers 4
Comber Rec 5
Ardstraw 2
Mossley FC 1
St Luke's 4
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Carrick Rangers -
Annagh -
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Shorts 8
Dunloy 0
Strabane Athletic 4
East Belfast 5
Wakehurst 2
Larne Technical Old Boys 1
Desertmartin 0
Tobermore 6
Harland & Wolff -
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Lurgan Celtic -
Cliftonville -
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Ballymena -
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Larne -
Fivemiletown 4
Sirocco 1
Newry City 1
Newington FC 3
Downshire Y.M. 3
U. U. Jordanstown 2
Barn 1
Dundela 2
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Loughgall -
Armagh -
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Drumaness 2
Seapatrick 0
Camlough 0
Dromara 5
18th Newtownabbey Old Boys 2
Ballynahinch United 1
Crumlin Star 1
Trojans 2
Portstewart 2
Moneyslane FC 0
Islandmagee 5
Killyleagh Youth 3
Valley Rangers 7
Seagoe 0
Coagh Utd 1
Derriaghy 2
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Glenavon -
1/64-finals
Dungannon -
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Dergview -
Richhill 1
Oxford Stars 0
Glebe 0
Grove 1
Sport & Leisure 3
Ards Rangers 2
Abbey Villa 2
Dollingstown 3
Crewe 3
Ballymoney 1
Sofia Farmer 0
Windmill 2
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Knockbreda -
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Warrenpoint -
Crusaders -
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Ards -
Lisburn Distillery 1
Lisburn Rangers 0
Comber Rec 2
St Luke's 3
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PSNI -
Institute -
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Ballyclare -
Glentoran -
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Linfield -
Coleraine -
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Carrick Rangers -
Annagh -
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Shorts 2
East Belfast 0
Wakehurst 1
Tobermore 2
Harland & Wolff -
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Lurgan Celtic -
Cliftonville -
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Ballymena -
Portadown -
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Larne -
Fivemiletown 5
Newington FC 4
Downshire Y.M. 2
Dundela 3
TBD -
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Loughgall -
Armagh -
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Drumaness 2
Dromara 1
18th Newtownabbey Old Boys 1
Trojans 2
Portstewart 5
Killyleagh Youth 0
Valley Rangers 0
Derriaghy 2
TBD -
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Glenavon -
1/32-finals
Dungannon -
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TBD -
Dergview -
Richhill 6
Grove 2
Sport & Leisure 1
Dollingstown 3
Crewe 4
Windmill 3
TBD -
Knockbreda -
Ballinamallard -
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Warrenpoint -
Crusaders -
TBD -
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Ards -
Lisburn Distillery 3
St Luke's 0
TBD -
PSNI -
Institute -
TBD -
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Ballyclare -
Glentoran -
TBD -
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Linfield -
Coleraine -
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Carrick Rangers -
Annagh -
TBD -
Shorts 0
Tobermore 6
Harland & Wolff -
TBD -
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Lurgan Celtic -
Cliftonville -
TBD -
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Ballymena -
Portadown -
TBD -
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Larne -
Fivemiletown 4
Dundela 3
TBD -
Loughgall -
Armagh -
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Drumaness 1
Trojans 3
Portstewart 4
Derriaghy 2
TBD -
Glenavon -
1/16-finals
Dungannon 3
Dergview 0
Richhill 1
Dollingstown 4
Crewe 2
Knockbreda 1
Ballinamallard 0
Warrenpoint 1
Crusaders 2
Ards 0
Lisburn Distillery 1
PSNI 2
Institute 4
Ballyclare 2
Glentoran 1
Linfield 2
Coleraine 5
Carrick Rangers 1
Annagh 0
Tobermore 2
Harland & Wolff 1
Lurgan Celtic 0
Cliftonville 1
Ballymena 2
Portadown 2
Larne 1
Fivemiletown 0
Loughgall 3
Armagh 2
Trojans 1
Portstewart 1
Glenavon 4
1/8-finals
Dungannon 4
Dollingstown 1
Crewe 0
Warrenpoint 5
Crusaders 2
PSNI 0
Institute 0
Linfield 2
Coleraine 1
Tobermore 0
Harland & Wolff 1
Ballymena 3
Portadown 2
Loughgall 1
Armagh 0
Glenavon 2
Quarter-finals
Dungannon 2
Warrenpoint 1
Crusaders 0
Linfield 2
Coleraine 4
Ballymena 0
Portadown 0
Glenavon 5
Semi-finals
Dungannon 0
Linfield 1
Coleraine 2
Glenavon 1
Final
Linfield 3
Coleraine 0