Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Shrewsbury vs Crewe

England England

League Two 2025/2026 The Croud Meadow, Shrewsbury
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Cox M.
Own Goal
8' Event
March J.
Assist: Lankester J.
45'
Lankester J.

AI Match Summary

The League Two 2025/2026 game between Shrewsbury and Crewe finished 0-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Crewe.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Shrewsbury
39%
Draws
31%
Crewe
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Shrewsbury haven't matched Crewe's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Shrewsbury Clean Sheet 68%
Crewe Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Shrewsbury Crewe
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 12 13
Draws 5 7
Losses 12 9
Goals Scored 1.13 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 21, 2026 League Two
Shrewsbury vs Crewe
0:4
Nov 8, 2025 League Two
Crewe vs Shrewsbury
3:1
Jan 15, 2022 League One
Crewe vs Shrewsbury
0:0
Sep 11, 2021 League One
Shrewsbury vs Crewe
1:1
Aug 31, 2021 EFL Trophy
Shrewsbury vs Crewe
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Shrewsbury Compare

Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Crewe Compare

Top Goalscorer March J.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Tezgel E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Shrewsbury 41 / 100
Crewe 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Shrewsbury Crewe

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SHR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Shrewsbury scored in 62% of their last 29 games.

Crewe has conceded goals in 69% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Solid form: Shrewsbury remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Shrewsbury VS Crewe
1.13 Goals Scored 1.13
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.25
50% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Shrewsbury

(Home)
01 Aug
Shrewsbury
3 : 2
Aston Villa U21
28 Jul
Hereford
1 : 1
Shrewsbury
25 Jul
Shrewsbury
1 : 4
West Brom
21 Jul
Shrewsbury
1 : 0
Everton U21
19 Jul
Shrewsbury
4 : 0
Isle of Man
Page 1 of 6

Crewe

(Away)
01 Aug
Chester
0 : 0
Crewe
25 Jul
Crewe
1 : 2
Birmingham
21 Jul
Telford
0 : 3
Crewe
18 Jul
Crewe
1 : 1
Stoke City
11 Jul
Witton Albion
2 : 3
Crewe
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bromley 46 24 15 7 71:46 87
2 Milton Keynes Dons 46 24 14 8 86:45 86
3 Cambridge Utd 46 22 16 8 66:33 82
4 Salford 46 25 6 15 61:51 81
5 Notts County 46 24 8 14 74:52 80
6 Chesterfield 46 21 16 9 71:56 79
7 Grimsby 46 22 12 12 74:50 78
8 Barnet 46 21 13 12 70:53 76
9 Swindon 46 22 9 15 70:59 75
10 Oldham 46 18 14 14 60:44 68
11 Crewe 46 19 10 17 64:58 67
12 Colchester 46 18 12 16 62:49 66
13 Walsall 46 18 11 17 56:56 65
14 Bristol Rovers 46 19 5 22 56:65 62
15 Fleetwood Town 46 15 16 15 57:58 61
16 Accrington 46 14 11 21 47:58 53
17 Gillingham 46 13 14 19 53:72 53
18 Cheltenham 46 14 10 22 53:79 52
19 Shrewsbury 46 13 10 23 42:69 49
20 Newport 46 12 7 27 48:77 43
21 Tranmere 46 10 11 25 54:79 41
22 Crawley Town 46 8 16 22 44:68 40
23 Harrogate 46 10 9 27 39:68 39
24 Barrow 46 9 9 28 45:78 36
Promotion - League One (Main)
Promotion - League Two 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - National League (Main)