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Shturmi vs Bolnisi - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Georgia Georgia

Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 Sartichala Central Stadium, Sartichala
Sat, Oct 24, 2026
VS
04:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Shturmi host Bolnisi in the Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2. Little to choose between these two on current form. Recent numbers: Shturmi at 1.3 goals for, 0.93 against; Bolnisi at 1.45 for, 1.35 against. Past meetings favor Bolnisi slightly — 1-3-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Aug 15, 2026, ending 0:1. Model xG sits at 1.63 vs 1.19, favoring Shturmi. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

61%
Shturmi
30%
Draws
9%
Bolnisi
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Shturmi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

61% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Shturmi come out ahead of Bolnisi on wins alone.
  • 61% — that's where the model lands on Shturmi taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Shturmi Clean Sheet 20%
Bolnisi Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Shturmi Bolnisi
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 14 10
Draws 9 8
Losses 7 13
Goals Scored 1.3 1.45
Goals Conceded 0.93 1.35
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 15, 2026 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2
Bolnisi vs Shturmi
0:1
May 10, 2026 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2
Shturmi vs Bolnisi
0:2
Mar 11, 2026 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2
Bolnisi vs Shturmi
1:1
Oct 5, 2024 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2
Bolnisi vs Shturmi
2:1
Aug 10, 2024 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2
Shturmi vs Bolnisi
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Shturmi 85 / 100
Bolnisi 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Shturmi Bolnisi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Shturmi Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Shturmi went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Shturmi found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (30 games).

Bolnisi let in goals in 74% of their last 31 matches.

Historical meetings average 1.80 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Shturmi VS Bolnisi
1.5 Goals Scored 1.25
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.75
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Shturmi

(Home)
10 Oct
Shturmi
2 : 0
Kolkheti 1913
20 Sept
Shturmi
1 : 0
FC Gareji Sagarejo
16 Sept
Telavi
1 : 1
Shturmi
12 Sept
Shturmi
2 : 0
Odishi 1919
06 Sept
Dusheti
3 : 4
Shturmi
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Bolnisi

(Away)
10 Oct
Samtredia
3 : 0
Bolnisi
20 Sept
Bolnisi
1 : 2
Dusheti
16 Sept
Merani Martvili
2 : 1
Bolnisi
12 Sept
Bolnisi
1 : 1
Kolkheti 1913
06 Sept
FC Gareji Sagarejo
3 : 3
Bolnisi
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FC Gareji Sagarejo 28 14 8 6 35:29 50
2 Telavi 28 12 10 6 33:26 46
3 Shturmi 28 12 10 6 31:23 46
4 Samtredia 28 12 4 12 51:40 40
5 Merani Martvili 28 10 7 11 31:36 37
6 Odishi 1919 28 9 8 11 30:37 35
7 Dusheti 28 10 5 13 31:41 35
8 Bolnisi 28 8 9 11 35:37 33
9 Gori 28 7 9 12 29:36 30
10 Kolkheti 1913 28 6 10 12 34:35 28
Promotion - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga (Relegation)
Relegation - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 (Relegation)
Relegation - Liga 3 2027 (Main)