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Shturmi vs Borjomi Prediction & H2H Stats

Georgia Georgia

Liga 3 2025 Sartichala Central Stadium, Sartichala
Our Tip

Match Events

25'
Khetsuriani N.
26' Event
Lekvtadze I.
(Penalty)
31' Event
Ugrekhelidze L.

AI Match Summary

The Liga 3 2025 game between Shturmi and Borjomi finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Shturmi.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

73%
Shturmi
20%
Draws
7%
Borjomi
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Shturmi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • Borjomi haven't matched Shturmi's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Shturmi's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Shturmi here — 4 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
Shturmi Clean Sheet 68%
Borjomi Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Shturmi Borjomi
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 14 6
Draws 11 5
Losses 7 19
Goals Scored 1.34 1.13
Goals Conceded 0.88 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 20, 2025 Liga 3
Shturmi vs Borjomi
3:1
Jun 17, 2025 Liga 3
Borjomi vs Shturmi
1:7
Oct 25, 2023 Liga 3
Borjomi vs Shturmi
0:7
May 31, 2023 Liga 3
Shturmi vs Borjomi
6:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Shturmi Compare

Top Goalscorer Omarashvili G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kardava D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.52

Borjomi Compare

Top Goalscorer Ugrekhelidze L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Shturmi 95 / 100
Borjomi 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Shturmi Borjomi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Shturmi Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Borjomi let in goals in 90% of their last 30 matches.

H2H data points to 6.75 goals as a typical output.

Shturmi found the back of the net in 75% of recent matches (32 games).

Shturmi has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Shturmi VS -
0.88 Goals Scored 0
0.88 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
13% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Shturmi

(Home)
20 Sept
Shturmi
1 : 0
FC Gareji Sagarejo
16 Sept
Telavi
1 : 1
Shturmi
12 Sept
Shturmi
2 : 0
Odishi 1919
06 Sept
Dusheti
3 : 4
Shturmi
29 Aug
Gori
3 : 1
Shturmi
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Borjomi

(Away)
05 Dec
Khobi
2 : 1
Borjomi
28 Nov
Borjomi
0 : 1
WIT Georgia
20 Nov
Shturmi
3 : 1
Borjomi
13 Nov
Borjomi
0 : 1
Dusheti
06 Nov
Margveti 2006
2 : 2
Borjomi
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Shturmi 30 21 7 2 68:22 70
2 Gori 30 20 7 3 58:28 67
3 Odishi 1919 30 20 4 6 59:19 64
4 Dusheti 30 19 6 5 79:35 63
5 FC Tbilisi 2025 30 17 7 6 59:32 58
6 WIT Georgia 30 14 10 6 64:32 52
7 Orbi 30 11 11 8 58:40 44
8 Didube 30 12 7 11 47:43 43
9 Merani Tbilisi 30 8 8 14 39:52 32
10 Betlemi Keda 30 7 8 15 43:71 29
11 FC Gardabani 30 8 5 17 37:67 29
12 Margveti 2006 30 7 7 16 36:71 28
13 Locomotive Tbilisi 2 30 8 3 19 43:68 27
14 Khobi 30 7 5 18 35:63 26
15 Borjomi 30 6 5 19 34:60 23
16 Bakhmaro Chokhatauri 30 3 4 23 18:74 13
Promotion - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 (Main)
Promotion - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 2025 (Relegation)