Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Shturmi vs FC Gardabani

Georgia Georgia

Liga 3 2025 Sartichala Central Stadium, Sartichala
Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
Butskhrikidze L.
26' Event
Kemoklidze L.
31' Event
Omarashvili G.

AI Match Summary

Shturmi in this Liga 3 2025 matchup, with the score ending 5-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Shturmi.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Shturmi
6%
Draws
4%
FC Gardabani
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Shturmi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Shturmi have won more games recently than FC Gardabani.
  • Win probability leans Shturmi's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Shturmi Clean Sheet 20%
FC Gardabani Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Shturmi FC Gardabani
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 13 6
Draws 11 5
Losses 5 19
Goals Scored 0.88 0.88
Goals Conceded 0.88 3.25
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 3.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 6, 2025 Liga 3
Shturmi vs FC Gardabani
5:0
Jun 3, 2025 Liga 3
FC Gardabani vs Shturmi
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Shturmi Compare

Top Goalscorer Butskhrikidze L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kemoklidze L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

FC Gardabani Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Shturmi 85 / 100
FC Gardabani 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Shturmi FC Gardabani

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SHT Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: FC Gardabani conceded in 83% of 30 recent games.

FC Gardabani's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

Shturmi's goal record stands at 69% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.50 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Shturmi VS FC Gardabani
0.88 Goals Scored 0.88
0.88 Goals Conceded 3.25
75% Over 1.5 100%
13% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Shturmi

(Home)
26 Jun
West Georgia
0 : 2
Shturmi
22 Jun
Kolkheti 1913
0 : 0
Shturmi
17 Jun
FC Gareji Sagarejo
0 : 0
Shturmi
13 Jun
Shturmi
0 : 2
Telavi
30 May
Odishi 1919
2 : 1
Shturmi
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FC Gardabani

(Away)
26 Jun
FC Gardabani
1 : 5
FC Iberia 2010 Tbilisi
21 Jun
FC Gardabani
1 : 3
FC Tbilisi 2025
15 Jun
Dinamo Tbilisi 2
4 : 1
FC Gardabani
28 May
FC Gardabani
0 : 6
Gonio
21 May
Iberia 1999 2
6 : 0
FC Gardabani
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Shturmi30217268:2270
2Gori30207358:2867
3Odishi 191930204659:1964
4Dusheti30196579:3563
5FC Tbilisi 202530177659:3258
6WIT Georgia301410664:3252
7Orbi301111858:4044
8Didube301271147:4343
9Merani Tbilisi30881439:5232
10Betlemi Keda30781543:7129
11FC Gardabani30851737:6729
12Margveti 200630771636:7128
13Locomotive Tbilisi 230831943:6827
14Khobi30751835:6326
15Borjomi30651934:6023
16Bakhmaro Chokhatauri30342318:7413
Promotion - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 (Main)
Promotion - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 2025 (Relegation)