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Shturmi vs FC Gareji Sagarejo - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Georgia Georgia

Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 Sartichala Central Stadium, Sartichala
Shturmi Logo

Shturmi

1 - 0
FT
FC Gareji Sagarejo Logo

FC Gareji Sagarejo

Our Tip

Match Events

30'
Kalandadze L.
33'
Eradze Z.
46'
Sub
Gugberidze B. In: Tchikaidze I.
Out: Gugberidze B.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Shturmi in this Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Shturmi.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

61%
Shturmi
20%
Draws
19%
FC Gareji Sagarejo
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Shturmi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

61% / High Confidence
  • FC Gareji Sagarejo have won more games recently than Shturmi.
  • Model gives Shturmi a 61% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Shturmi Clean Sheet 68%
FC Gareji Sagarejo Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Shturmi FC Gareji Sagarejo
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 13 15
Draws 9 7
Losses 7 7
Goals Scored 1.14 1.31
Goals Conceded 0.83 1.14
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 20, 2026 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2
Shturmi vs FC Gareji Sagarejo
1:0
Jun 17, 2026 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2
FC Gareji Sagarejo vs Shturmi
0:0
Apr 26, 2026 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2
Shturmi vs FC Gareji Sagarejo
1:2
Nov 9, 2024 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2
FC Gareji Sagarejo vs Shturmi
5:1
Sep 1, 2024 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2
Shturmi vs FC Gareji Sagarejo
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Shturmi Compare

Top Goalscorer Kardava D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.97

FC Gareji Sagarejo Compare

Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Shturmi 95 / 100
FC Gareji Sagarejo 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Shturmi FC Gareji Sagarejo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Shturmi Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Shturmi went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Shturmi's goal record stands at 72% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Defensive concern: FC Gareji Sagarejo conceded in 66% of 29 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Shturmi VS FC Gareji Sagarejo
1.5 Goals Scored 1.5
1.13 Goals Conceded 2.38
63% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Shturmi

(Home)
10 Oct
Shturmi
2 : 0
Kolkheti 1913
20 Sept
Shturmi
1 : 0
FC Gareji Sagarejo
16 Sept
Telavi
1 : 1
Shturmi
12 Sept
Shturmi
2 : 0
Odishi 1919
06 Sept
Dusheti
3 : 4
Shturmi
Page 1 of 6

FC Gareji Sagarejo

(Away)
10 Oct
Odishi 1919
1 : 0
FC Gareji Sagarejo
20 Sept
Shturmi
1 : 0
FC Gareji Sagarejo
16 Sept
FC Gareji Sagarejo
2 : 1
Gori
12 Sept
Samtredia
6 : 1
FC Gareji Sagarejo
06 Sept
FC Gareji Sagarejo
3 : 3
Bolnisi
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FC Gareji Sagarejo 28 14 8 6 35:29 50
2 Telavi 28 12 10 6 33:26 46
3 Shturmi 28 12 10 6 31:23 46
4 Samtredia 28 12 4 12 51:40 40
5 Merani Martvili 28 10 7 11 31:36 37
6 Odishi 1919 28 9 8 11 30:37 35
7 Dusheti 28 10 5 13 31:41 35
8 Bolnisi 28 8 9 11 35:37 33
9 Gori 28 7 9 12 29:36 30
10 Kolkheti 1913 28 6 10 12 34:35 28
Promotion - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga (Relegation)
Relegation - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 (Relegation)
Relegation - Liga 3 2027 (Main)