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Shumen 1929 vs Kaliakra Prediction & H2H Stats

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Third League - North-East 2014/2015
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Kaliakra in this Third League - North-East 2014/2015 matchup, with the score ending 0-7 — backing the pre-match view that favored Kaliakra.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Shumen 1929
20%
Draws
44%
Kaliakra
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Kaliakra

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

44% / Low Confidence
  • Shumen 1929 have won more games recently than Kaliakra.
  • Kaliakra are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Kaliakra have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Shumen 1929 Clean Sheet 20%
Kaliakra Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Shumen 1929 Kaliakra
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 10 9
Draws 7 5
Losses 13 18
Goals Scored 1.6 1.53
Goals Conceded 1.4 1.84
Expected Goals (xG) 1.79 0.93
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 5, 2016 Third League - North-East
Shumen 1929 vs Kaliakra
2:2
Aug 22, 2015 Third League - North-East
Kaliakra vs Shumen 1929
3:0
May 2, 2015 Third League - North-East
Shumen 1929 vs Kaliakra
0:7
Oct 18, 2014 Third League - North-East
Kaliakra vs Shumen 1929
6:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Shumen 1929 28 / 100
Kaliakra 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Shumen 1929 Kaliakra

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kaliakra Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 5.50 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Shumen 1929 scored in 63% of their last 30 outings.

Kaliakra let in goals in 78% of their last 32 matches.

Solid form: Shumen 1929 remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Kaliakra
0 Goals Scored 0.75
0 Goals Conceded 2.38
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Shumen 1929

(Home)
22 May
Shumen 1929
0 : 0
Septemvri Tervel
15 May
Inter Plachidol
3 : 2
Shumen 1929
07 May
Shumen 1929
1 : 1
Botev Novi Pazar
29 Apr
Chernomorets Balchik
3 : 0
Shumen 1929
23 Apr
Shumen 1929
3 : 0
Dve Mogili
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Kaliakra

(Away)
29 May
Kubrat
3 : 2
Kaliakra
24 May
Kaliakra
2 : 3
Topolite
19 May
Lokomotiv Ruse
4 : 1
Kaliakra
12 May
Kaliakra
3 : 2
Volov Shumen
05 May
Ustrem Donchevo
0 : 2
Kaliakra
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Dunav Ruse 30 28 1 1 121:11 85
2 Chernomorets Balchik 30 24 4 2 85:14 76
3 Kaliakra 30 23 3 4 93:21 72
4 Suvorovo 30 19 2 9 47:38 59
5 FK Ticha 30 17 2 11 59:38 53
6 Benkovski Byala 30 15 4 11 46:39 49
7 Septemvri Tervel 30 15 1 14 43:46 46
8 Kubrat 30 14 3 13 48:45 45
9 Svetkavitsa 30 14 3 13 42:44 45
10 Botev Novi Pazar 30 12 2 16 45:61 38
11 Belitsa 30 10 4 16 39:58 34
12 Shumen 1929 30 9 5 16 41:52 32
13 Dve Mogili 30 6 4 20 19:53 22
14 Chernomorets Byala 30 6 3 21 25:68 21
15 Provadia 30 4 1 25 30:109 13
16 Dorostol 30 2 2 26 12:98 8
Promotion - B PFG 2015/2016 (Main)