Sport Picks

Azerbaijan

First Division 2017/2018

MOIK Baku

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Shuvalan play MOIK Baku in the First Division 2017/2018. It looks like a close match. Recently, Shuvalan averaged 1.17 goals scored and 1.03 conceded. MOIK Baku averaged 1.19 goals scored and 1.53 conceded. In past meetings, Shuvalan won 1, MOIK Baku won 3, and they drew 1. Their last match on Feb 28, 2019 ended 1:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.29 for Shuvalan and 1.18 for MOIK Baku. This points to a Shuvalan double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%

Shuvalan

23%

Draws

36%

MOIK Baku

Draw rate projection: 23% Favored: Shuvalan

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence

Shuvalan picked up more points recently compared to MOIK Baku.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.29 vs 1.18 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 66%

Over 2.5 Goals 45%

Over 3.5 Goals 27%

Over 4.5 Goals 14%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 45%

Shuvalan Clean Sheet 20%

MOIK Baku Clean Sheet 11%

First Half Goal 59%

Second Half Goal 63%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Shuvalan	MOIK Baku
Matches Played	30	32
Wins	12	11
Draws	8	7
Losses	10	14
Goals Scored	1.17	1.19
Goals Conceded	1.03	1.53

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 28, 2019 I Liqa

MOIK Baku vs Shuvalan

Possession: 57% - 55% Cards: 3 - 3

1:0

Sep 28, 2018 I Liqa

Shuvalan vs MOIK Baku

Possession: 48% - 55% Cards: 2 - 0

0:1

Mar 30, 2018 I Liqa

MOIK Baku vs Shuvalan

Possession: 59% - 43% Cards: 2 - 2

0:0

Dec 4, 2017 I Liqa

Shuvalan vs MOIK Baku

Possession: 43% - 59% Cards: 3 - 1

3:0

Oct 16, 2017 I Liqa

MOIK Baku vs Shuvalan

Possession: 58% - 47% Cards: 3 - 1

1:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Shuvalan 41 / 100

MOIK Baku 35 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Shuvalan MOIK Baku

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Shuvalan or Draw (1X)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +24.2%

3.03

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +15.2%

2.56

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Shuvalan attacking → ← attacking MOIK Baku

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Shuvalan scored in 67% of their last 30 games.

MOIK Baku let in goals in 78% of their last 32 matches.

Games between these two average 1.20 goals.

Shuvalan went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

MOIK Baku lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

44 Points in last 5 40

0.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.25

0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.38

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Khazar Baku	27	15	5	7	40:18	50
2	Lokbatan	27	13	7	7	44:31	46
3	Shuvalan	27	13	6	8	30:20	45
4	MOIK Baku	27	13	5	9	40:32	44
5	Sabah Baku	27	11	7	9	41:33	40
6	Turan	27	11	6	10	34:33	39
7	Bina	27	10	5	12	33:36	35
8	Imisli FK	27	8	6	13	32:48	30
9	Agsu (Inactive)	27	8	4	15	25:48	28
10	Zaqatala PFK	27	4	7	16	22:42	19