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Shymkent vs Gefest Karagandy

Kazakhstan Kazakhstan

First Division 2013
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AI Match Summary

The First Division 2013 game between Shymkent and Gefest Karagandy finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Gefest Karagandy.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Shymkent
15%
Draws
0%
Gefest Karagandy
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Shymkent

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Gefest Karagandy come out ahead of Shymkent on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Shymkent's way, sitting at 36%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Shymkent Clean Sheet 20%
Gefest Karagandy Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Shymkent Gefest Karagandy
Matches Played 30 34
Wins 2 10
Draws 6 3
Losses 22 21
Goals Scored 0.77 0.82
Goals Conceded 2.8 1.85
Expected Goals (xG) 1.48 0.93
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 13, 2013 First League
Shymkent vs Gefest Karagandy
1:3
Apr 17, 2013 First League
Gefest Karagandy vs Shymkent
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Shymkent 36 / 100
Gefest Karagandy 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Shymkent Gefest Karagandy

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gefest Karagandy has conceded goals in 82% of their last 34 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.50 goals when they meet.

Gefest Karagandy's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

Attacking prowess: Shymkent scored in 57% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Gefest Karagandy
0 Goals Scored 0.75
0 Goals Conceded 1.75
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Shymkent

(Home)
26 Oct
Kyzylzhar
6 : 1
Shymkent
23 Oct
Okzhetpes
6 : 0
Shymkent
16 Oct
Shymkent
0 : 1
Zhenis
13 Oct
Shymkent
1 : 3
Gefest Karagandy
01 Oct
CSKA Almaty
1 : 2
Shymkent
Page 1 of 6

Gefest Karagandy

(Away)
08 Nov
Gefest Karagandy
0 : 3
Bayterek Astana
02 Nov
Kaspij Aktau
3 : 0
Gefest Karagandy
25 Oct
Gefest Karagandy
0 : 3
Maqtaaral
19 Oct
FK Kyran
3 : 0
Gefest Karagandy
11 Oct
Gefest Karagandy
0 : 3
Akzhayik Uralsk
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kaisar Kyzylorda 34 23 8 3 77:20 74
2 Spartak Semey 34 21 7 6 54:24 70
3 Okzhetpes 34 20 7 7 51:27 67
4 Kyzylzhar 34 20 5 9 52:35 65
5 Kaspij Aktau 34 19 8 7 55:31 65
6 Ile-Saulet 34 19 8 7 66:32 65
7 Zhenis 34 15 13 6 51:37 58
8 FK Kyran 34 16 7 11 53:39 55
9 Sunkar 34 16 9 9 48:33 48
10 Ak Bulak 34 14 6 14 49:39 48
11 Gefest Karagandy 34 12 8 14 37:46 44
12 FC Ekibastuz 34 9 13 12 34:36 40
13 Shakhtar Bulat 34 7 9 18 28:42 30
14 Taraz-Karatau 2 34 5 9 20 28:57 24
15 Bayterek Astana 34 8 5 21 32:67 23
16 Maqtaaral 34 5 7 22 29:62 22
17 CSKA Almaty 34 5 4 25 29:79 19
18 Shymkent 34 2 7 25 27:94 13
Promotion - Premier League 2014 (Main)
Promotion - Premier League 2013 (Relegation)