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Shymkent vs Kaspij Aktau Prediction & H2H Stats

Kazakhstan Kazakhstan

First Division 2012
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The First Division 2012 game between Shymkent and Kaspij Aktau finished 2-5, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Kaspij Aktau.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Shymkent
15%
Draws
59%
Kaspij Aktau
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Kaspij Aktau

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Kaspij Aktau come out ahead of Shymkent on wins alone.
  • Model gives Kaspij Aktau a 59% chance of winning this.
  • Regular First Division 2012 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Kaspij Aktau have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Shymkent Clean Sheet 20%
Kaspij Aktau Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Shymkent Kaspij Aktau
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 2 11
Draws 6 5
Losses 22 14
Goals Scored 0.77 1.2
Goals Conceded 2.8 1.33
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 0.99
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 8, 2013 First League
Shymkent vs Kaspij Aktau
1:3
May 22, 2013 First League
Kaspij Aktau vs Shymkent
2:0
Aug 3, 2012 First League
Shymkent vs Kaspij Aktau
2:5
May 8, 2012 First League
Kaspij Aktau vs Shymkent
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Shymkent 10 / 100
Kaspij Aktau 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Shymkent Kaspij Aktau

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kaspij Aktau Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.25 goals.

Kaspij Aktau's defensive record shows goals conceded in 73% of 30 matches.

Shymkent found the back of the net in 57% of recent matches (30 games).

Recent resilience: Shymkent stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Kaspij Aktau
0 Goals Scored 0.88
0 Goals Conceded 1
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Shymkent

(Home)
26 Oct
Kyzylzhar
6 : 1
Shymkent
23 Oct
Okzhetpes
6 : 0
Shymkent
16 Oct
Shymkent
0 : 1
Zhenis
13 Oct
Shymkent
1 : 3
Gefest Karagandy
01 Oct
CSKA Almaty
1 : 2
Shymkent
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Kaspij Aktau

(Away)
18 Sept
Zhetysu Taldykorgan
0 : 1
Kaspij Aktau
12 Sept
Kaspij Aktau
1 : 2
Aktobe
05 Sept
Kaspij Aktau
0 : 3
Kairat Almaty
30 Aug
Kaspij Aktau
1 : 0
Tobol
16 Aug
Kaspij Aktau
2 : 2
Yelimay Semey
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ile-Saulet 30 17 10 3 52:20 61
2 Vostok Oskemen 30 16 9 5 40:21 57
3 Zhenis 30 16 9 5 38:17 57
4 Bayterek Astana 30 14 11 5 39:19 53
5 FK Kyran 30 14 6 10 51:38 48
6 Spartak Semey 30 14 4 12 38:45 46
7 Shakhtar Bulat 30 12 10 8 30:23 46
8 Kaspij Aktau 30 12 7 11 39:31 43
9 Ak Bulak 30 11 8 11 34:29 41
10 Taraz-Karatau 2 30 11 8 11 33:28 41
11 Kyzylzhar 30 11 7 12 36:43 40
12 FC Ekibastuz 30 11 4 15 45:43 37
13 Kairat Almaty 2 30 9 9 12 37:41 36
14 Aktobe Zhas 30 8 2 20 31:62 26
15 CSKA Almaty 30 4 6 20 18:55 18
16 Shymkent 30 3 4 23 20:66 13
Promotion - Premier League 2013 (Main)