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Stadium Background

Siarka Tarnobrzeg vs Czarni Polaniec

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group IV 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

18' Event
Mroz P.
47'
Tyburczy M.
47'
Tyburczy M.

AI Match Summary

The III Liga - Group IV 2025/2026 game between Siarka Tarnobrzeg and Czarni Polaniec finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Siarka Tarnobrzeg
30%
Draws
34%
Czarni Polaniec
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Siarka Tarnobrzeg

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Siarka Tarnobrzeg haven't matched Czarni Polaniec's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Siarka Tarnobrzeg's way, sitting at 36%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Siarka Tarnobrzeg Clean Sheet 14%
Czarni Polaniec Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Siarka Tarnobrzeg Czarni Polaniec
Matches Played 34 29
Wins 12 15
Draws 10 6
Losses 12 8
Goals Scored 1.25 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.88 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.88 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 18, 2026 III Liga - Group IV
Siarka Tarnobrzeg vs Czarni Polaniec
1:1
Sep 27, 2025 III Liga - Group IV
Czarni Polaniec vs Siarka Tarnobrzeg
1:5
Nov 23, 2024 III Liga - Group IV
Siarka Tarnobrzeg vs Czarni Polaniec
2:1
Aug 3, 2024 III Liga - Group IV
Czarni Polaniec vs Siarka Tarnobrzeg
2:4
Mar 2, 2024 III Liga - Group IV
Czarni Polaniec vs Siarka Tarnobrzeg
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Siarka Tarnobrzeg Compare

Top Goalscorer Mroz P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Czarni Polaniec Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Siarka Tarnobrzeg 35 / 100
Czarni Polaniec 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Siarka Tarnobrzeg Czarni Polaniec

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.80 goals as a typical output.

Siarka Tarnobrzeg found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (34 games).

Defensive concern: Czarni Polaniec conceded in 66% of 29 recent games.

Difficult form: Czarni Polaniec registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Siarka Tarnobrzeg VS Czarni Polaniec
1.25 Goals Scored 1.38
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.63
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Avia Swidnik34238384:3577
2Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski34228466:3074
3Chelmianka Chelm34219465:3172
4Korona Kielce II341841266:5958
5Star Starachowice341510951:4355
6Czarni Polaniec341651359:4953
7Biala Podlaska3414101060:4852
8Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow341491161:4551
9Wislanie Skawina341561352:5151
10Wisla II341541567:5849
11Wisloka Debica3412121037:3548
12Siarka Tarnobrzeg3411101359:5243
13Naprzod Jedrzejow341151845:5538
14Kolbuszowa Dolna341141936:5437
15Stal Krasnik34971842:5234
16Cracovia II34961944:7133
17Swidniczanka Swidnik34542535:8019
18Sparta Kazimierza Wielka34412929:11013