Sport Picks

Siarka Tarnobrzeg vs Lech Poznan - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Poland

Polish Cup Stadion Miejski, Tarnobrzeg

Siarka Tarnobrzeg

1 - 0

Lech Poznan

Our Tip

Match Events

20'

Agnero Y.

45'

Agnero Y.

46'

Sub

Palma L. In: Sledzinski E.

Out: Palma L.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-0. This leg finished 1-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%

Siarka Tarnobrzeg

15%

Draws

53%

Lech Poznan

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Lech Poznan

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence

Lech Poznan have won more games recently than Siarka Tarnobrzeg.
Win probability leans Siarka Tarnobrzeg's way, sitting at 36%.
Lech Poznan arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
Historical meetings favor Siarka Tarnobrzeg, who have won 2 of the last 3 encounters.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
History favors Siarka Tarnobrzeg here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%

Over 1.5 Goals 88%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 70%

Over 4.5 Goals 32%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%

Siarka Tarnobrzeg Clean Sheet 10%

Lech Poznan Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Siarka Tarnobrzeg	Lech Poznan
Matches Played	28	28
Wins	9	18
Draws	7	6
Losses	12	4
Goals Scored	1.57	2.46
Goals Conceded	1.61	1.25
Expected Goals (xG)	1.75	2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 28, 2026 Polish Cup

Siarka Tarnobrzeg vs Lech Poznan

1:0

May 22, 1996 Ekstraklasa

Lech Poznan vs Siarka Tarnobrzeg

2:0

Oct 29, 1995 Ekstraklasa

Siarka Tarnobrzeg vs Lech Poznan

1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Siarka Tarnobrzeg Compare

Top Goalscorer Kasia A.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.35

Avg xA / game 0.88

Lech Poznan Compare

Avg xG / game 1.82

Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Siarka Tarnobrzeg 34 / 100

Lech Poznan 33 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Siarka Tarnobrzeg Lech Poznan

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Siarka Tarnobrzeg's goal record stands at 82% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Lech Poznan's defensive record shows goals conceded in 71% of 28 matches.

Games between these two average 1.33 goals.

Recent resilience: Siarka Tarnobrzeg stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Siarka Tarnobrzeg VS Lech Poznan

1.63 Goals Scored 2.38

1.63 Goals Conceded 1.88

88% Over 1.5 88%

63% Over 2.5 88%

50% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Siarka Tarnobrzeg

(Home)

24 Oct

Moravia Morawica

2 : 3

Siarka Tarnobrzeg

17 Oct

Siarka Tarnobrzeg

4 : 0

Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow

09 Oct

Wislanie Skawina

4 : 1

Siarka Tarnobrzeg

03 Oct

Siarka Tarnobrzeg

1 : 2

Korona Kielce II

26 Sept

Star Starachowice

4 : 1

Siarka Tarnobrzeg

Page 1 of 6

Lech Poznan

(Away)

25 Oct

Legia

1 : 2

Lech Poznan

22 Oct

Lech Poznan

1 : 1

Sunderland

18 Oct

Lech Poznan

6 : 1

Korona Kielce

15 Oct

Lech Poznan

0 : 4

Bayer Leverkusen

10 Oct

Slask Wroclaw

1 : 4

Lech Poznan

Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Scroll horizontally to view stages →

1/64-finals

Legnica -

TBD -

Chrobry Glogow -

Widzew Lodz II -

TBD -

Polonia Bytom -

Siarka Tarnobrzeg -

TBD -

Zaglebie -

TBD -

Lech Poznan -

Sokol Ostroda -

TBD -

Unia Skierniewice 2

Kleczew 3

Podhale Nowy Targ 2

Chojniczanka 0

TBD -

Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki -

Avia Swidnik -

TBD -

KS Wieczysta Krakow -

Korona Kielce II -

TBD -

Radomiak Radom -

Warta Poznan 0

R. Rzeszow 1

TBD -

Arka Gdynia -

S. Rzeszow -

TBD -

Podbeskidzie 2

Hutnik Krakow 0

Polonia Sroda Wielkopol -

TBD -

Sandecja Nowy S. 3

Rekord Bielsko-Biala 0

Beskid Andrychow -

TBD -

Slask Wroclaw II 3

Stal Stalowa Wola 2

Motor Lublin -

TBD -

Legia -

TBD -

Rakow Czestochowa -

Kluczbork -

TBD -

Lechia Gdansk -

TBD -

Jagiellonia -

Polkowice -

TBD -

Polonia Warszawa -

Widzew Lodz -

TBD -

Korona Kielce -

Plock II -

TBD -

Puszcza -

Luzino -

TBD -

Wisla Plock -

Pruszkow 3

LKS Lodz II 1

TBD -

Cracovia -

Zielona Gora -

TBD -

Ruch Chorzow -

Gornik Zabrze II -

TBD -

Ol. Grudziadz 5

Swit Szczecin 3

Suwalki -

TBD -

Termalica Bruk-Bet -

Chemik Bydgoszcz -

TBD -

Piast Gliwice -

TBD -

Gornik Zabrze -

Odra Opole -

TBD -

Wisla -

Slask Wroclaw -

TBD -

Pogon Szczecin -

Leczna 2

KKS Kalisz 0

TBD -

Stal Mielec -

TBD -

GKS Katowice -

Tychy 1

Zaglebie Sosnowiec 0

TBD -

LKS Lodz -

Kluczevia Stargard -

TBD -

Pogon Siedlce 3

GKS Jastrzebie 0

1/32-finals

Legnica 0

Chrobry Glogow 1

Widzew Lodz II 1

Polonia Bytom 2

Siarka Tarnobrzeg 3

Zaglebie 2

TBD -

Lech Poznan -

Sokol Ostroda 1

Kleczew 2

Podhale Nowy Targ 3

Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki 1

Avia Swidnik 3

KS Wieczysta Krakow 1

Korona Kielce II 0

Radomiak Radom 1

R. Rzeszow 0

Arka Gdynia 4

S. Rzeszow 3

Podbeskidzie 0

Polonia Sroda Wielkopol 3

Sandecja Nowy S. 2

Beskid Andrychow 1

Slask Wroclaw II 3

Motor Lublin 3

Legia 0

TBD -

Rakow Czestochowa -

Kluczbork 1

Lechia Gdansk 2

TBD -

Jagiellonia -

Polkowice 0

Polonia Warszawa 1

Widzew Lodz 0

Korona Kielce 1

Plock II 0

Puszcza 2

Luzino 2

Wisla Plock 3

Pruszkow 2

Cracovia 1

Zielona Gora 0

Ruch Chorzow 2

Gornik Zabrze II 3

Ol. Grudziadz 4

Suwalki 1

Termalica Bruk-Bet 5

Chemik Bydgoszcz 0

Piast Gliwice 3

TBD -

Gornik Zabrze -

Odra Opole 2

Wisla 1

Slask Wroclaw 2

Pogon Szczecin 1

Leczna 4

Stal Mielec 3

TBD -

GKS Katowice -

Tychy 1

LKS Lodz 0

Kluczevia Stargard 2

Pogon Siedlce 3

1/16-finals

Chrobry Glogow -

Polonia Bytom -

Siarka Tarnobrzeg 1

Lech Poznan 0

Kleczew 2

Podhale Nowy Targ 1

Avia Swidnik -

Radomiak Radom -

Arka Gdynia -

S. Rzeszow -

Polonia Sroda Wielkopol -

Slask Wroclaw II -

Motor Lublin 1

Rakow Czestochowa 2

Lechia Gdansk -

Jagiellonia -

Polonia Warszawa -

Korona Kielce -

Puszcza -

Wisla Plock -

Pruszkow -

Ruch Chorzow -

Ol. Grudziadz 0

Termalica Bruk-Bet 1

Piast Gliwice 0

Gornik Zabrze 1

Odra Opole -

Slask Wroclaw -

Leczna 1

GKS Katowice 0

Tychy -

Pogon Siedlce -

1/8-finals

TBD -

Quarter-finals

TBD -

Semi-finals

TBD -

Final

TBD -

Siarka Tarnobrzeg vs Lech Poznan - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Poland

Siarka Tarnobrzeg

Lech Poznan

Match Events

AI Match Summary

Win Probability Meter

Model Confidence

Goal Probability Engine

Recent Team Form Analysis

H2H

Key Player Impact Analysis

Siarka Tarnobrzeg Compare

Lech Poznan Compare

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Attack & Defence Capability Index

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Scoring Trends

Recent Form & Match History

Siarka Tarnobrzeg

Lech Poznan

Tournament Bracket & Draw

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