Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Siarka Tarnobrzeg vs Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group IV 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Majewski M.
45' Event
Mroz P.
70' Event
Majewski M.

AI Match Summary

Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski in this III Liga - Group IV 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Siarka Tarnobrzeg
33%
Draws
40%
Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski lately — more wins on the board than Siarka Tarnobrzeg.
  • Model gives Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski a 40% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 66%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.8%
Siarka Tarnobrzeg Clean Sheet 10%
Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Siarka Tarnobrzeg Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski
Matches Played 32 32
Wins 10 19
Draws 10 6
Losses 12 7
Goals Scored 1.57 1.75
Goals Conceded 2.14 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.57 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.14 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 2, 2026 III Liga - Group IV
Siarka Tarnobrzeg vs Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski
1:2
Oct 11, 2025 III Liga - Group IV
Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski vs Siarka Tarnobrzeg
1:2
Mar 22, 2025 III Liga - Group IV
Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski vs Siarka Tarnobrzeg
3:0
Jan 11, 2025 Club Friendly
Siarka Tarnobrzeg vs Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski
2:1
Aug 24, 2024 III Liga - Group IV
Siarka Tarnobrzeg vs Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Siarka Tarnobrzeg Compare

Top Goalscorer Mroz P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.21
Avg xA / game 0.79

Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski Compare

Top Goalscorer Majewski M.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Siarka Tarnobrzeg 26 / 100
Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Siarka Tarnobrzeg Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick OST Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Siarka Tarnobrzeg scored in 78% of their last 32 games.

Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski let in goals in 66% of their last 32 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Difficult form: Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Siarka Tarnobrzeg VS Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski
1.57 Goals Scored 1.75
2.14 Goals Conceded 1
57% Over 1.5 75%
57% Over 2.5 63%
43% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Avia Swidnik34238384:3577
2Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski34228466:3074
3Chelmianka Chelm34219465:3172
4Korona Kielce II341841266:5958
5Star Starachowice341510951:4355
6Czarni Polaniec341651359:4953
7Biala Podlaska3414101060:4852
8Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow341491161:4551
9Wislanie Skawina341561352:5151
10Wisla II341541567:5849
11Wisloka Debica3412121037:3548
12Siarka Tarnobrzeg3411101359:5243
13Naprzod Jedrzejow341151845:5538
14Kolbuszowa Dolna341141936:5437
15Stal Krasnik34971842:5234
16Cracovia II34961944:7133
17Swidniczanka Swidnik34542535:8019
18Sparta Kazimierza Wielka34412929:11013