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Stadium Background

Siauliai 2 vs BFA Vilnius - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Lithuania Lithuania

I Lyga
Our Tip

Match Events

43' Event
Dudenas G.

AI Match Summary

Siauliai 2 in this I Lyga matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Siauliai 2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Siauliai 2
20%
Draws
51%
BFA Vilnius
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: BFA Vilnius

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • BFA Vilnius have won more games recently than Siauliai 2.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and BFA Vilnius have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Siauliai 2 Clean Sheet 10%
BFA Vilnius Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Siauliai 2 BFA Vilnius
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 6 15
Draws 7 5
Losses 16 10
Goals Scored 1.45 1.47
Goals Conceded 2.14 1.4
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 2, 2026 I Lyga
Siauliai 2 vs BFA Vilnius
1:0
Mar 17, 2026 I Lyga
BFA Vilnius vs Siauliai 2
1:0
Aug 23, 2025 I Lyga
BFA Vilnius vs Siauliai 2
5:1
Apr 27, 2025 I Lyga
Siauliai 2 vs BFA Vilnius
0:4
Nov 3, 2024 I Lyga
Siauliai 2 vs BFA Vilnius
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Siauliai 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Dudenas G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

BFA Vilnius Compare

Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Siauliai 2 30 / 100
BFA Vilnius 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Siauliai 2 BFA Vilnius

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Siauliai 2 scored in 76% of their last 29 games.

BFA Vilnius has conceded goals in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Siauliai 2 has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Siauliai 2 VS BFA Vilnius
1.5 Goals Scored 1.75
2 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Siauliai 2

(Home)
09 Oct
Siauliai 2
3 : 3
FK Kauno Zalgiris 2
19 Sept
Ekranas
2 : 6
Siauliai 2
14 Sept
Siauliai 2
0 : 2
BE1 NFA
04 Sept
Hegelmann Litauen 2
5 : 1
Siauliai 2
28 Aug
Siauliai 2
1 : 2
FK Minija
Page 1 of 6

BFA Vilnius

(Away)
09 Oct
BFA Vilnius
1 : 2
Zalgiris 2
26 Sept
FK Panevezys
2 : 0
BFA Vilnius
19 Sept
FK Atmosfera
1 : 1
BFA Vilnius
12 Sept
Garliava
2 : 3
BFA Vilnius
04 Sept
BFA Vilnius
2 : 1
FK Babrungas
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FK Minija 25 22 1 2 68:13 67
2 FK Babrungas 26 20 4 2 45:11 64
3 BE1 NFA 25 16 3 6 46:26 51
4 Zalgiris 2 26 14 4 8 40:33 46
5 Neptunas 26 14 2 10 33:31 44
6 BFA Vilnius 26 13 4 9 40:37 43
7 Tauras Taurage 25 13 4 8 43:31 43
8 Dainava Alytus 26 11 8 7 37:27 41
9 FK Atmosfera 25 8 7 10 37:33 31
10 Garliava 26 8 5 13 31:28 29
11 Jonava 26 7 6 13 28:35 27
12 FK Kauno Zalgiris 2 26 7 2 17 26:46 23
13 Transinvest 2 26 6 4 16 30:59 22
14 Hegelmann Litauen 2 26 7 1 18 27:59 22
15 Siauliai 2 26 4 6 16 30:59 18
16 Ekranas 26 4 3 19 26:59 15
Promotion - TOPLYGA 2027 (Main)
Promotion - TOPLYGA (Relegation)
Relegation - I Lyga (Relegation)