Sport Picks
Match Events
20'
20'
Micevicius G.
22'
22'
Micevicius G.
40'
40'
Houat Y.
(Penalty)
AI Match Summary
The I Lyga game between Siauliai 2 and Jonava finished 2-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
34%
15%
51%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Jonava
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
51%
/ Medium Confidence
- Jonava carry the better recent record into this one.
- Model gives Jonava a 51% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Siauliai 2 Clean Sheet 15%
Jonava Clean Sheet 18%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Siauliai 2 | Jonava |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 6 | 9 |
| Draws | 6 | 7 |
| Losses | 17 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1.21 | 1.07 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.07 | 1.34 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.81 | 1.56 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 19, 2026 I Lyga
Siauliai 2 vs Jonava
2:2
Sep 26, 2025 I Lyga
Siauliai 2 vs Jonava
0:3
May 24, 2025 I Lyga
Jonava vs Siauliai 2
3:1
Aug 26, 2023 I Lyga
Siauliai 2 vs Jonava
3:2
Apr 7, 2023 I Lyga
Jonava vs Siauliai 2
0:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Siauliai 2 Compare
Top Goalscorer Micevicius G.
2 Goals Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.41
Jonava Compare
Top Goalscorer Banevicius R.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Siauliai 2 27 / 100
Jonava 40 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Siauliai 2 Jonava
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Jonava Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Games between these two average 3.60 goals.
Siauliai 2's goal record stands at 69% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
Jonava's defensive record shows goals conceded in 72% of 29 matches.
Difficult form: Jonava registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Siauliai 2 VS Jonava
0.75 Goals Scored 1
2.13 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Siauliai 2
(Home) 14 Aug
Siauliai 2
1 : 4 Zalgiris 2
08 Aug
FK Atmosfera
1 : 1 Siauliai 2
02 Aug
Siauliai 2
1 : 0 BFA Vilnius
25 Jul
Neptunas
2 : 1 Siauliai 2
19 Jul
Tauras Taurage
3 : 1 Siauliai 2
Page 1 of 6
14 Aug
Siauliai 2
1 : 4 Zalgiris 2
02 Aug
Siauliai 2
1 : 0 BFA Vilnius
01 Jul
Siauliai 2
1 : 3 Tauras Taurage
27 Jun
Siauliai 2
0 : 1 FK Babrungas
14 Jun
Siauliai 2
1 : 2 Transinvest 2
Page 1 of 3
Jonava
(Away) 14 Aug
FK Kauno Zalgiris 2
2 : 1 Jonava
07 Aug
Jonava
1 : 2 Ekranas
31 Jul
BE1 NFA
0 : 2 Jonava
25 Jul
Jonava
1 : 0 Garliava
18 Jul
FK Minija
2 : 1 Jonava
Page 1 of 6
14 Aug
FK Kauno Zalgiris 2
2 : 1 Jonava
31 Jul
BE1 NFA
0 : 2 Jonava
18 Jul
FK Minija
2 : 1 Jonava
27 Jun
Hegelmann Litauen 2
2 : 1 Jonava
21 Jun
Zalgiris 2
1 : 2 Jonava
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FK Minija | 19 | 16 | 1 | 2 | 48:11 | 49 |
| 2 | FK Babrungas | 19 | 15 | 3 | 1 | 32:6 | 48 |
| 3 | Neptunas | 19 | 12 | 2 | 5 | 27:20 | 38 |
| 4 | Tauras Taurage | 19 | 11 | 2 | 6 | 35:22 | 35 |
| 5 | Dainava Alytus | 18 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 32:18 | 34 |
| 6 | BE1 NFA | 18 | 10 | 2 | 6 | 29:23 | 32 |
| 7 | BFA Vilnius | 19 | 10 | 1 | 8 | 29:29 | 31 |
| 8 | Zalgiris 2 | 19 | 8 | 4 | 7 | 27:27 | 28 |
| 9 | FK Atmosfera | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 29:22 | 25 |
| 10 | Jonava | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 23:24 | 23 |
| 11 | Garliava | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 23:19 | 22 |
| 12 | Hegelmann Litauen 2 | 19 | 5 | 1 | 13 | 20:43 | 16 |
| 13 | Transinvest 2 | 19 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 18:46 | 15 |
| 14 | Ekranas | 19 | 3 | 2 | 14 | 19:37 | 11 |
| 15 | Siauliai 2 | 19 | 2 | 5 | 12 | 17:41 | 11 |
| 16 | FK Kauno Zalgiris 2 | 19 | 3 | 1 | 15 | 13:33 | 10 |
Promotion - TOPLYGA 2027 (Main)
Promotion - TOPLYGA (Relegation)
Relegation - I Lyga (Relegation)
