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Stadium Background

Siauliai 2 vs Nevezis Kedainiai

Lithuania Lithuania

I Lyga 2025 Siauliai Gytariu stadium
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Match Events

15' Event
Radavicius J.
(Penalty)
38'
Gavrylyuk N.
41'
Skibiniauskas V.

AI Match Summary

The I Lyga 2025 game between Siauliai 2 and Nevezis Kedainiai finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Siauliai 2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Siauliai 2
20%
Draws
38%
Nevezis Kedainiai
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Siauliai 2

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • Siauliai 2 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Siauliai 2 a 42% chance of winning this.
  • Regular I Lyga 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 81%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 81%
Over 3.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 39%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Siauliai 2 Clean Sheet 10%
Nevezis Kedainiai Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Siauliai 2 Nevezis Kedainiai
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 8 7
Draws 5 4
Losses 18 19
Goals Scored 1.38 4
Goals Conceded 2 3
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 4.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.00 3.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 2, 2025 I Lyga
Siauliai 2 vs Nevezis Kedainiai
3:1
Mar 28, 2025 I Lyga
Nevezis Kedainiai vs Siauliai 2
2:4
Aug 30, 2024 I Lyga
Siauliai 2 vs Nevezis Kedainiai
1:3
Apr 5, 2024 I Lyga
Nevezis Kedainiai vs Siauliai 2
1:0
Aug 12, 2023 I Lyga
Siauliai 2 vs Nevezis Kedainiai
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Siauliai 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Garbaliauskas N.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Jucys V.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Nevezis Kedainiai Compare

Top Goalscorer Traore M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 3.64
Avg xA / game 2.22

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Siauliai 2 40 / 100
Nevezis Kedainiai 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Siauliai 2 Nevezis Kedainiai

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nevezis Kedainiai let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Siauliai 2 scored in 71% of their last 31 games.

Nevezis Kedainiai's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Siauliai 2 VS Nevezis Kedainiai
1.38 Goals Scored 4
2 Goals Conceded 3
75% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 100%
75% Over 3.5 100%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Transinvest30261387:2279
2Neptunas30214568:2767
3Tauras Taurage30188456:2262
4FK Babrungas30177664:4358
5BFA Vilnius30167747:3655
6FK Atmosfera301461052:3448
7Zalgiris 2301191050:4842
8Jonava301191026:2542
9FK Minija301131627:4636
10Hegelmann Litauen 230871535:5131
11BE1 NFA30861635:5130
12Ekranas30921937:5829
13FK Kauno Zalgiris 230831943:5727
14Siauliai 230822041:7126
15Nevezis Kedainiai30751832:5826
16FK Panevezys 230632130:8121