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Siauliai vs Kruoja - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Lithuania Lithuania

A Lyga 2015 Siauliai central stadium, Šiauliai
Sat, Oct 24, 2015
3 - 0
12:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Siauliai host Kruoja in the A Lyga 2015. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. Siauliai have averaged 1.03 scored and 2.53 conceded recently, against Kruoja's 0.4 scored and 2.37 conceded. Past meetings favor Siauliai slightly — 3-1-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Oct 24, 2015, ending 3:0. The numbers (2.13 xG vs 2.19) point toward Siauliai. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Siauliai
15%
Draws
0%
Kruoja
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Siauliai

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Kruoja haven't matched Siauliai's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Siauliai a 85% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 91%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 91%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Siauliai Clean Sheet 10%
Kruoja Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Siauliai Kruoja
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 5 1
Draws 4 6
Losses 21 23
Goals Scored 1.03 0.4
Goals Conceded 2.53 2.37
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 2.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 24, 2015 TOPLYGA
Siauliai vs Kruoja
3:0
Aug 16, 2015 TOPLYGA
Kruoja vs Siauliai
2:3
May 27, 2015 TOPLYGA
Siauliai vs Kruoja
1:0
Mar 22, 2015 TOPLYGA
Kruoja vs Siauliai
2:2
Sep 27, 2014 TOPLYGA
Kruoja vs Siauliai
4:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Siauliai 83 / 100
Kruoja 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Siauliai Kruoja

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Siauliai Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kruoja's defensive record shows goals conceded in 93% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.60 goals when they meet.

Away concern: Kruoja has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Siauliai scored in 60% of their last 30 games.

Scoring Trends

Siauliai VS Kruoja
1.25 Goals Scored 0
3.38 Goals Conceded 3
100% Over 1.5 100%
100% Over 2.5 100%
88% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Siauliai

(Home)
28 Nov
Siauliai
3 : 0
Granitas Klaipeda
22 Nov
Utenis
3 : 2
Siauliai
08 Nov
Riteriai
4 : 0
Siauliai
31 Oct
Suduva
5 : 0
Siauliai
24 Oct
Siauliai
3 : 0
Kruoja
Page 1 of 6

Kruoja

(Away)
28 Nov
FC Stumbras
3 : 0
Kruoja
21 Nov
Kruoja
0 : 3
Atlantas
09 Nov
Zalgiris
3 : 0
Kruoja
30 Oct
Kruoja
0 : 3
FK Kauno Zalgiris
24 Oct
Siauliai
3 : 0
Kruoja
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Zalgiris 36 31 1 4 104:25 94
2 Riteriai 36 27 3 6 92:33 84
3 Atlantas 36 21 7 8 65:34 70
4 Suduva 36 21 4 11 76:34 67
5 FK Kauno Zalgiris 36 13 6 17 47:74 45
6 Utenis 36 11 9 16 41:50 42
7 FC Stumbras 36 11 8 17 51:74 41
8 Granitas Klaipeda 36 6 9 21 37:83 27
9 Siauliai 36 5 5 26 37:94 20
10 Kruoja 36 4 8 24 23:72 20
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