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Sibenik vs Jarun

World World

Club Friendly 2025 Skolska sportska dvorana Pescenica, Zagreb
Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
Abramovic K.
22' Event
Laca I.
64' Event
Kulusic L.

AI Match Summary

Sibenik in this Club Friendly 2025 matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sibenik.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Sibenik
35%
Draws
35%
Jarun
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Jarun lately — more wins on the board than Sibenik.
  • 35% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Club Friendly 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Sibenik have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Sibenik Clean Sheet 20%
Jarun Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sibenik Jarun
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 7 8
Draws 6 10
Losses 17 12
Goals Scored 1.23 1.43
Goals Conceded 1.7 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 1.11
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 14, 2025 Club Friendly
Sibenik vs Jarun
3:2
May 4, 2024 Prva NL
Sibenik vs Jarun
2:0
Mar 16, 2024 Prva NL
Sibenik vs Jarun
2:0
Feb 10, 2024 Club Friendly
Sibenik vs Jarun
3:1
Oct 23, 2023 Prva NL
Jarun vs Sibenik
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sibenik Compare

Top Goalscorer Laca I.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kulusic L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.52

Jarun Compare

Top Goalscorer Abramovic K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ahmetaj A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.62

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sibenik 36 / 100
Jarun 21 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sibenik Jarun

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Jarun Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Jarun's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.

Sibenik's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Solid form: Sibenik remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Jarun
0 Goals Scored 1.13
0 Goals Conceded 0.88
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Sibenik

(Home)
10 Sept
Varteks Varazdin (2011)
4 : 1
Sibenik
23 Aug
Sibenik
4 : 1
Hrvatski Vitez Posedarje
16 Aug
Sloga Mravince
2 : 1
Sibenik
13 Aug
Sibenik
1 : 0
Drnis
09 Aug
Sibenik
1 : 2
Vodice
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Jarun

(Away)
12 Sept
Jarun
3 : 3
Trnje
05 Sept
Slavonija Pozega
0 : 1
Jarun
29 Aug
Jarun
4 : 4
Zagora
22 Aug
Lucko
1 : 1
Jarun
25 Jul
Radnik Krizevci
1 : 1
Jarun
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