Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Sibenik vs Slaven Belupo

Croatia Croatia

Croatian Cup 2024/2025 Stadion Šubićevac
Our Tip

Match Events

41'
Gacic J.
42' Event
Jagusic A.
(Penalty)
46'
Sub
Grzan S. In: Laca I.
Out: Grzan S.

AI Match Summary

Slaven Belupo in this Croatian Cup 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Slaven Belupo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Sibenik
20%
Draws
38%
Slaven Belupo
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Sibenik

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • Slaven Belupo average 1.13 goals a game right now, well clear of Sibenik's 0.
  • Win probability leans Sibenik's way, sitting at 42%.
  • Cup games in Croatian Cup 2024/2025 usually bring a different intensity than the league.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Sibenik Clean Sheet 20%
Slaven Belupo Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sibenik Slaven Belupo
Matches Played 33 31
Wins 8 8
Draws 7 9
Losses 18 14
Goals Scored 0 1.13
Goals Conceded 0 1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 11, 2025 HNL
Slaven Belupo vs Sibenik
2:0
Feb 1, 2025 HNL
Sibenik vs Slaven Belupo
1:1
Nov 16, 2024 Croatian Cup
Sibenik vs Slaven Belupo
1:2
Oct 25, 2024 HNL
Slaven Belupo vs Sibenik
2:2
Aug 9, 2024 HNL
Sibenik vs Slaven Belupo
2:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sibenik 42 / 100
Slaven Belupo 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sibenik Slaven Belupo

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Slaven Belupo conceded in 84% of 31 recent games.

Sibenik found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (33 games).

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Away concern: Slaven Belupo has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Slaven Belupo
0 Goals Scored 1.13
0 Goals Conceded 1.88
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Zrinski Osjecko4
Moslavina0
TBD-
Sibenik-
Kustosija3
NK Polet0
TBD-
Slaven Belupo-
Nehaj Senj0
Croatia Dakovo4
TBD-
HNK Gorica-
Gaj Mace2
Karlovac1
TBD-
Varazdin-
Sloga Nova Gradiska0
Bjelovar1
TBD-
Jaska Vinogradar-
Banjole2
Mladost Petrinja0
TBD-
Din. Zagreb-
Hrvatski Vitez Posedarje1
Slavonija Pozega2
TBD-
Oriolik-
Medjimurec1
Varteks Varazdin (2011)2
TBD-
Osijek-
Jadran Porec1
Radnik Krizevci0
TBD-
Mladost Zdralovi-
Bilogora1
Zagora0
TBD-
Hajduk Split-
Bednja Beletinec2
Orijent1
TBD-
Belisce-
Neretvanac2
Bedem Ivankovo0
TBD-
Rijeka-
Sava Strmec0
NK Pitomaca7
TBD-
Rudes-
Tomislav DA5
Sloga Borovo0
TBD-
Istra 1961-
Dugopolje1
Jarun0
TBD-
Bijelo Brdo-
Samobor10
Ferdinandovac0
TBD-
Lok. Zagreb-
1/16-finals
Zrinski Osjecko0
Sibenik2
Kustosija0
Slaven Belupo1
Croatia Dakovo1
HNK Gorica2
Gaj Mace1
Varazdin2
Bjelovar4
Jaska Vinogradar0
Banjole1
Din. Zagreb3
Slavonija Pozega3
Oriolik0
Varteks Varazdin (2011)1
Osijek3
Jadran Porec0
Mladost Zdralovi2
Bilogora0
Hajduk Split4
Bednja Beletinec3
Belisce0
Neretvanac1
Rijeka3
NK Pitomaca1
Rudes2
Tomislav DA0
Istra 19612
Dugopolje1
Bijelo Brdo0
Samobor2
Lok. Zagreb4
1/8-finals
Sibenik1
Slaven Belupo2
HNK Gorica2
Varazdin1
Bjelovar2
Din. Zagreb3
Slavonija Pozega1
Osijek2
Mladost Zdralovi0
Hajduk Split3
Bednja Beletinec0
Rijeka3
Rudes1
Istra 19612
Dugopolje0
Lok. Zagreb1
Quarter-finals
Slaven Belupo3
HNK Gorica1
Din. Zagreb0
Osijek1
Hajduk Split1
Rijeka3
Istra 19613
Lok. Zagreb0
Semi-finals
Slaven Belupo1
Osijek0
Rijeka1
Istra 19610
Final
Slaven Belupo1
Rijeka2