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Sibir Novosibirsk vs Leningradets

Russia Russia

FNL 2 - Division A Gold 2025/2026 Stadion Spartak
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Pokotylo D.
11' Event
Nikitin D.
22'
Redkovich D.

AI Match Summary

Sibir Novosibirsk in this FNL 2 - Division A Gold 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 4-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sibir Novosibirsk.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Sibir Novosibirsk
17%
Draws
13%
Leningradets
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Sibir Novosibirsk

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Sibir Novosibirsk haven't matched Leningradets's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Sibir Novosibirsk's way, sitting at 70%.
  • Regular FNL 2 - Division A Gold 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Sibir Novosibirsk Clean Sheet 20%
Leningradets Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sibir Novosibirsk Leningradets
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 11 14
Draws 6 6
Losses 12 10
Goals Scored 1.63 1
Goals Conceded 1.13 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2026 FNL 2 - Division A Gold
Sibir Novosibirsk vs Leningradets
4:1
Mar 22, 2026 FNL 2 - Division A Gold
Leningradets vs Sibir Novosibirsk
1:0
Oct 5, 2025 FNL 2 - Division A Gold
Leningradets vs Sibir Novosibirsk
2:1
Aug 10, 2025 FNL 2 - Division A Gold
Sibir Novosibirsk vs Leningradets
4:0
Oct 13, 2024 FNL 2 - Division A Gold
Leningradets vs Sibir Novosibirsk
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sibir Novosibirsk Compare

Top Goalscorer Nikitin D.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Pokotylo D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Leningradets Compare

Top Goalscorer Ukomskiy A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sibir Novosibirsk 67 / 100
Leningradets 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sibir Novosibirsk Leningradets

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SIB Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Sibir Novosibirsk scored in 76% of their last 29 outings.

Defensive concern: Leningradets conceded in 67% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Sibir Novosibirsk went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sibir Novosibirsk VS Leningradets
1.63 Goals Scored 1
1.13 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Leningradets18104423:2334
2Tekstilshtik18102629:1832
3Sibir Novosibirsk1895428:2032
4Veles Moscow1884620:1228
5Mashuk18511220:1326
6FC Volgar-Astrakhan1866621:1924
7Kaluga1855817:2020
8Rodina Moscow 21847720:2319
9Torpedo Miass1837813:2316
10Irtysh Omsk18171011:3110