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Sidama Bunna vs Hawassa - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Ethiopia Ethiopia

Premier League
Sat, Oct 24, 2026
VS
12:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Sidama Bunna host Hawassa in the Premier League. This shapes up as a tight, low-scoring affair. Hawassa have shipped 0.89 goals a game lately, while Sidama Bunna have conceded 0.78 and scored 1.09. Head-to-head, Sidama Bunna have won 2 to Hawassa's 1, with 2 draws. They last met on Feb 28, 2026, ending 1:2. xG projections (0.94 - 0.69) back Sidama Bunna to edge this. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Sidama Bunna
35%
Draws
28%
Hawassa
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Sidama Bunna

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Sidama Bunna have won more games recently than Hawassa.
  • Win probability leans Sidama Bunna's way, sitting at 36%.
  • Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.8%
Sidama Bunna Clean Sheet 20%
Hawassa Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sidama Bunna Hawassa
Matches Played 32 28
Wins 15 6
Draws 7 13
Losses 10 9
Goals Scored 1.09 0.86
Goals Conceded 0.78 0.89
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 0.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 28, 2026 Premier League
Hawassa vs Sidama Bunna
1:2
Oct 25, 2025 Premier League
Sidama Bunna vs Hawassa
1:0
May 3, 2025 Premier League
Hawassa vs Sidama Bunna
1:1
Sep 23, 2024 Premier League
Sidama Bunna vs Hawassa
0:1
May 11, 2024 Premier League
Hawassa vs Sidama Bunna
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sidama Bunna 36 / 100
Hawassa 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sidama Bunna Hawassa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sidama Bunna found the back of the net in 63% of recent matches (32 games).

These sides typically produce 1.80 goals when they meet.

Defensive concern: Hawassa conceded in 57% of 28 recent games.

Sidama Bunna has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Sidama Bunna VS Hawassa
0.88 Goals Scored 0.63
0.75 Goals Conceded 1
50% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Sidama Bunna

(Home)
18 Oct
Sidama Bunna
0 : 2
Al Hilal Omdurman
11 Oct
Sidama Bunna
0 : 1
Ethiopia Nigd Bank
13 Sept
Sidama Bunna
3 : 0
Aiglons
05 Sept
Aiglons
0 : 0
Sidama Bunna
09 Jul
Sidama Bunna
0 : 2
Welwalo Adigrat
Page 1 of 7

Hawassa

(Away)
17 Oct
Hawassa
1 : 1
Ethiopian Insurance
11 Oct
Hawassa
0 : 1
Mechal SC
02 Jul
Hawassa
2 : 3
Adama City
28 Jun
Ethio Electric S.C.
1 : 1
Hawassa
21 Jun
Hawassa
0 : 0
Bahir Dar Kenema
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ethiopia Nigd Bank 2 2 0 0 2:0 6
2 Halaba Ketema FC 3 1 2 0 3:2 5
3 Ethiopian Insurance 2 1 1 0 3:1 4
4 Adama City 2 1 1 0 1:0 4
5 Ethio Electric S.C. 3 1 1 1 1:1 4
6 Sheger Ketema FC 3 1 1 1 1:1 4
7 Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee) 2 1 0 1 2:2 3
8 Mechal SC 2 1 0 1 1:1 3
9 Bahir Dar Kenema 2 1 0 1 1:1 3
10 Welayta Dicha 2 0 2 0 1:1 2
11 Fasil Kenema 2 0 2 0 1:1 2
12 Negele Arsi Ketema FC 2 0 2 0 1:1 2
13 Welwalo Adigrat 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
14 St. Georges 2 0 1 1 2:3 1
15 Hawassa 2 0 1 1 1:2 1
16 Hadiya Hossana 2 0 1 1 1:2 1
17 Sidama Bunna 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
18 Gamo Chencha FC 1 0 0 1 0:2 0
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2027/2028 (Qualification)