Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Siegburger vs Friesdorf

Germany Germany

Oberliga Mittelrhein 2022/2023
Our Tip

Match Events

82' Event
Ibishi I.

AI Match Summary

Friesdorf in this Oberliga Mittelrhein 2022/2023 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Friesdorf.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Siegburger
20%
Draws
30%
Friesdorf
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Siegburger

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

50% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Siegburger lately — more wins on the board than Friesdorf.
  • Model gives Siegburger a 50% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Oberliga Mittelrhein 2022/2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Siegburger Clean Sheet 20%
Friesdorf Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Siegburger Friesdorf
Matches Played 40 33
Wins 20 11
Draws 10 3
Losses 10 19
Goals Scored 1.98 1.61
Goals Conceded 1.27 2.7
Expected Goals (xG) 2.10 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 26, 2023 Oberliga Mittelrhein
Siegburger vs Friesdorf
0:1
Sep 11, 2022 Oberliga Mittelrhein
Friesdorf vs Siegburger
1:0
Apr 10, 2022 Oberliga Mittelrhein
Friesdorf vs Siegburger
1:1
Sep 26, 2021 Oberliga Mittelrhein
Siegburger vs Friesdorf
1:1
May 13, 2021 Oberliga Mittelrhein
Siegburger vs Friesdorf
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Siegburger Compare

Avg xG / game 1.62
Avg xA / game 1.05

Friesdorf Compare

Top Goalscorer Ibishi I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Siegburger 85 / 100
Friesdorf 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Siegburger Friesdorf

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Siegburger Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Siegburger's goal record stands at 85% scoring rate across 40 recent games.

Friesdorf's defensive record shows goals conceded in 76% of 33 matches.

Siegburger has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Friesdorf's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Siegburger VS -
3 Goals Scored 0
1.13 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
63% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Siegburger

(Home)
20 Sept
Frechen
2 : 2
Siegburger
13 Sept
Siegburger
2 : 2
Neunkirchen-Seelscheid
06 Sept
Chlodwig Zulpich
5 : 2
Siegburger
30 Aug
Siegburger
2 : 0
Merten
26 Jul
Rot-Weiss Koblenz
6 : 1
Siegburger
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Friesdorf

(Away)
22 Jul
Engers
2 : 0
Friesdorf
11 Jun
Friesdorf
2 : 4
Bergisch Gladbach
04 Jun
VfL Vichttal
11 : 3
Friesdorf
29 May
Friesdorf
3 : 2
Frechen
21 May
FC Viktoria 08
2 : 0
Friesdorf
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Hennef 30 22 2 6 73:37 68
2 FC Wegberg-Beeck 30 20 5 5 65:28 65
3 VfL Vichttal 30 19 4 7 88:51 61
4 Bonner 30 16 7 7 70:28 55
5 Eintracht Hohkeppel 30 15 8 7 67:48 53
6 Bergisch Gladbach 30 15 8 7 53:35 53
7 Frechen 30 11 7 12 53:49 40
8 Borussia Freialdenhoven 30 10 8 12 38:52 38
9 Konigsdorf 30 10 4 16 49:51 34
10 FC Hurth 30 8 10 12 44:54 34
11 Glesch/Paffendorf 30 10 3 17 53:71 33
12 Fortuna Koln II 30 7 11 12 42:53 32
13 Siegburger 30 9 5 16 39:52 32
14 Friesdorf 30 8 4 18 39:88 28
15 Pesch 30 6 8 16 34:63 26
16 FC Viktoria 08 30 4 6 20 27:74 18
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