Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Siegburger vs Merten

Germany Germany

Oberliga Mittelrhein 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Oberliga Mittelrhein 2025/2026 game between Siegburger and Merten finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Merten.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Siegburger
15%
Draws
58%
Merten
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Merten

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Siegburger carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Merten's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Merten have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Siegburger Clean Sheet 10%
Merten Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Siegburger Merten
Matches Played 32 31
Wins 20 18
Draws 6 7
Losses 6 6
Goals Scored 2.5 2.65
Goals Conceded 1.25 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 2.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 7, 2026 Oberliga Mittelrhein
Merten vs Siegburger
5:1
Dec 14, 2025 Oberliga Mittelrhein
Siegburger vs Merten
0:1
May 11, 2025 Oberliga Mittelrhein
Merten vs Siegburger
3:0
Oct 27, 2024 Oberliga Mittelrhein
Siegburger vs Merten
2:4
Jun 16, 2019 Oberliga Mittelrhein
Siegburger vs Merten
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Siegburger 10 / 100
Merten 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Siegburger Merten

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Merten Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Siegburger found the back of the net in 94% of recent matches (32 games).

Games between these two average 3.60 goals.

Merten let in goals in 68% of their last 31 matches.

Siegburger went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Siegburger VS Merten
2.75 Goals Scored 4.63
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 88%

Recent Form & Match History

Siegburger

(Home)
26 Jul
Rot-Weiss Koblenz
6 : 1
Siegburger
19 Jul
FC Monheim
2 : 3
Siegburger
07 Jun
Merten
5 : 1
Siegburger
31 May
Siegburger
3 : 0
Hennef
25 May
VfL Vichttal
3 : 2
Siegburger
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Merten

(Away)
07 Jun
Merten
5 : 1
Siegburger
31 May
Teutonia Weiden
0 : 10
Merten
22 May
Merten
8 : 3
SpVg Porz 1919
17 May
FC Wegberg-Beeck
2 : 2
Merten
10 May
Merten
4 : 1
Bergisch Gladbach
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bergisch Gladbach 30 20 7 3 85:28 67
2 Eintracht Hohkeppel 30 20 4 6 86:36 64
3 Siegburger 30 19 5 6 75:34 62
4 Merten 30 18 6 6 80:28 60
5 VfL Vichttal 30 18 5 7 80:43 59
6 FC Wegberg-Beeck 30 15 6 9 62:35 51
7 Frechen 30 16 2 12 66:54 50
8 Bornheim 30 14 4 12 65:56 46
9 Konigsdorf 30 14 4 12 53:54 46
10 Fortuna Koln II 30 13 6 11 62:47 45
11 1. FC Duren 30 11 5 14 49:59 38
12 Hennef 30 11 2 17 45:66 35
13 SpVg Porz 1919 30 7 4 19 58:99 25
14 Teutonia Weiden 30 4 4 22 25:104 16
15 Sportfreunde Duren 30 4 2 24 41:103 14
16 Pesch 30 2 2 26 26:112 8
Promotion - Regionalliga West (Main)