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Siegelbach W vs Weinberg W

Germany Germany

DFB Pokal Women 2016/2017
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Siegelbach W play Weinberg W in the DFB Pokal Women 2016/2017. Weinberg W are favorites here. Recently, Siegelbach W averaged 1.67 goals scored and 5 conceded. Weinberg W averaged 1.13 goals scored and 2.16 conceded. In past meetings, Siegelbach W won 0, Weinberg W won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Aug 21, 2016 ended 0:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.92 for Siegelbach W and 1.94 for Weinberg W. This points to a Weinberg W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%
Siegelbach W
15%
Draws
67%
Weinberg W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Weinberg W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Siegelbach W picked up more points recently compared to Weinberg W.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.92 vs 1.94 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 64%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 87%
Over 2.5 Goals 64%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 19%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 44%
Siegelbach W Clean Sheet 10%
Weinberg W Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 78%
Second Half Goal 83%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Siegelbach W Weinberg W
Matches Played 6 32
Wins 0 9
Draws 0 5
Losses 6 18
Goals Scored 1.67 1.13
Goals Conceded 5 2.16
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 3.00 2.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 21, 2016 DFB Pokal Women
Siegelbach W vs Weinberg W
0:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Siegelbach W 18 / 100
Weinberg W 62 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Siegelbach W Weinberg W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Weinberg W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Weinberg W & Over 2.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +80%
10.00
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +10.1%
1.72
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Siegelbach W attacking → ← attacking Weinberg W

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Siegelbach W scored in 50% of their last 6 games.

Weinberg W let in goals in 78% of their last 32 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Siegelbach W went unbeaten in 0 of their last 5 games.

Weinberg W lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Match Risk Analysis

Assessing potential disruptors and external variables affecting prediction reliability

Risk Level: Low
Risk Factor

Busy schedule: Managers might rest key players, which can affect team cohesion.

Risk Factor

Cup knockout game. Winning is all that matters, which can lead to wild tactics or extra time.

Risk Factor

Pressure: A tense match where mistakes or cards can change things quickly.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

0 Points in last 5 32
0.00 Goals expected (xG) 0.88
3.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.63