Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Siegen vs Bonner

Germany Germany

Regionalliga West 2025/2026 Leimbachstadion, Siegen
Our Tip

Match Events

42' Event
Kratzer E.
71' Event
Bird R.
74' Event
Willms D.

AI Match Summary

The Regionalliga West 2025/2026 game between Siegen and Bonner finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Bonner.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Siegen
35%
Draws
28%
Bonner
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Siegen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Siegen come out ahead of Bonner on wins alone.
  • Siegen are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Regular Regionalliga West 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Siegen Clean Sheet 16%
Bonner Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Siegen Bonner
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 13 8
Draws 8 10
Losses 9 11
Goals Scored 2.13 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.2 1.55
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2026 Regionalliga West
Siegen vs Bonner
3:3
May 2, 2026 Regionalliga West
Siegen vs Bonner
1:2
Nov 9, 2025 Regionalliga West
Bonner vs Siegen
1:1
Jul 30, 2023 Club Friendly
Bonner vs Siegen
3:1
Apr 1, 2017 Regionalliga West
Bonner vs Siegen
4:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Siegen Compare

Top Goalscorer Willms D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

Bonner Compare

Top Goalscorer Kratzer E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Bird R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Siegen 48 / 100
Bonner 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Siegen Bonner

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Siegen Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bonner let in goals in 83% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 4.20 goals.

Siegen went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Siegen scored in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

Siegen VS Bonner
2.25 Goals Scored 1.38
1.5 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Siegen

(Home)
12 Sept
Siegen
3 : 3
Bonner
05 Sept
Bocholt
1 : 3
Siegen
02 Sept
Siegen
2 : 2
Paderborn II
28 Aug
Rodinghausen
1 : 2
Siegen
21 Aug
Siegen
0 : 0
B. Monchengladbach II
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Bonner

(Away)
12 Sept
Siegen
3 : 3
Bonner
04 Sept
Bonner
2 : 1
Koln II
01 Sept
Bocholt
2 : 2
Bonner
28 Aug
Bonner
3 : 3
Bochum II
23 Aug
Paderborn II
1 : 1
Bonner
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Fortuna Koln 34 20 10 4 71:30 70
2 Rot-Weiss Oberhausen 34 19 9 6 60:40 66
3 Schalke II 34 18 7 9 77:50 61
4 Gutersloh 34 16 11 7 55:40 59
5 Dortmund II 34 16 10 8 66:50 58
6 B. Monchengladbach II 34 17 7 10 61:46 58
7 Siegen 34 14 12 8 62:43 54
8 Paderborn II 34 12 10 12 52:38 46
9 Bonner 34 12 10 12 38:42 46
10 Koln II 34 13 6 15 55:63 45
11 Lotte 34 11 12 11 45:55 45
12 Dusseldorf II 34 11 7 16 47:58 40
13 Bocholt 34 10 9 15 49:57 39
14 Bochum II 34 9 12 13 50:62 39
15 Rodinghausen 34 7 8 19 46:63 29
16 Wiedenbruck 34 7 8 19 39:65 29
17 Wuppertaler 34 5 11 18 36:70 26
18 SSVg Velbert 34 6 7 21 35:72 25
Promotion - 3. Liga (Main)