Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Siegen vs Bonner

Germany Germany

Regionalliga West 2025/2026 Leimbachstadion, Siegen
Our Tip

Match Events

42' Event
Kratzer E.
71' Event
Bird R.
74' Event
Willms D.

AI Match Summary

The Regionalliga West 2025/2026 game between Siegen and Bonner finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Bonner.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Siegen
6%
Draws
4%
Bonner
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Siegen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Siegen come out ahead of Bonner on wins alone.
  • Siegen are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Regionalliga West 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Siegen Clean Sheet 18%
Bonner Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Siegen Bonner
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 12 10
Draws 7 7
Losses 10 12
Goals Scored 3.13 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 3.13 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 2, 2026 Regionalliga West
Siegen vs Bonner
1:2
Nov 9, 2025 Regionalliga West
Bonner vs Siegen
1:1
Jul 30, 2023 Club Friendly
Bonner vs Siegen
3:1
Apr 1, 2017 Regionalliga West
Bonner vs Siegen
4:2
Sep 24, 2016 Regionalliga West
Siegen vs Bonner
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Siegen Compare

Top Goalscorer Willms D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.41
Avg xA / game 1.56

Bonner Compare

Top Goalscorer Kratzer E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Bird R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Siegen 85 / 100
Bonner 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Siegen Bonner

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SIE Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bonner let in goals in 83% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 3.80 goals.

Siegen scored in 79% of their last 29 games.

Siegen has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Siegen VS Bonner
3.13 Goals Scored 1.5
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Siegen

(Home)
25 Jul
TSV Steinbach Haiger
2 : 8
Siegen
18 Jul
Siegen
5 : 1
Eintracht Frankfurt II
11 Jul
Siegen
0 : 1
TuS Koblenz
04 Jul
Fernwald
0 : 6
Siegen
27 Jun
Siegen
6 : 0
Cosmos Koblenz
Page 1 of 6

Bonner

(Away)
26 Jul
Bonner
1 : 3
Uerdingen
25 Jul
Kaiserslautern II
1 : 0
Bonner
18 Jul
Bonner
1 : 4
Duisburg
11 Jul
Eintracht Trier
0 : 4
Bonner
04 Jul
FC Viktoria Koln
4 : 1
Bonner
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Fortuna Koln342010471:3070
2Rot-Weiss Oberhausen34199660:4066
3Schalke II34187977:5061
4Gutersloh341611755:4059
5Dortmund II341610866:5058
6B. Monchengladbach II341771061:4658
7Siegen341412862:4354
8Paderborn II3412101252:3846
9Bonner3412101238:4246
10Koln II341361555:6345
11Lotte3411121145:5545
12Dusseldorf II341171647:5840
13Bocholt341091549:5739
14Bochum II349121350:6239
15Rodinghausen34781946:6329
16Wiedenbruck34781939:6529
17Wuppertaler345111836:7026
18SSVg Velbert34672135:7225
Promotion - 3. Liga (Main)