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Siello vs Carabanchel

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

26' Event
Aragon A.
34' Event
Pacheco E.
90' Event
del Barco D.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2025/2026 game between Siello and Carabanchel finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Siello.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

54%
Siello
15%
Draws
31%
Carabanchel
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Siello

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • Siello carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Siello's way, sitting at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Siello Clean Sheet 68%
Carabanchel Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Siello Carabanchel
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 10 8
Draws 5 10
Losses 13 12
Goals Scored 1.14 0.77
Goals Conceded 1.21 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Siello vs Carabanchel
3:0
Jan 11, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Carabanchel vs Siello
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Siello Compare

Top Goalscorer Aragon A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Pacheco E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Carabanchel Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Siello 68 / 100
Carabanchel 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Siello Carabanchel

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Siello Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Siello's goal record stands at 75% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Defensive concern: Carabanchel conceded in 67% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 1.50 goals when they meet.

Siello went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Siello VS Carabanchel
1.38 Goals Scored 1.13
1 Goals Conceded 0.88
50% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Siello

(Home)
06 Sept
Trival Valderas
3 : 1
Siello
10 May
Siello
3 : 0
Carabanchel
03 May
CD Mostoles
3 : 5
Siello
26 Apr
Siello
2 : 1
San Sebastian Reyes B
19 Apr
Ciudad de Madrid
0 : 1
Siello
Page 1 of 6

Carabanchel

(Away)
10 May
Siello
3 : 0
Carabanchel
03 May
Carabanchel
3 : 2
Pozuelo de Alarcon
25 Apr
Leganes B
0 : 1
Carabanchel
19 Apr
Carabanchel
0 : 1
Trival Valderas
12 Apr
AD Torrejon
1 : 1
Carabanchel
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Atl. Madrid C 34 18 10 6 83:46 64
2 Trival Valderas 34 18 6 10 50:36 60
3 AD Torrejon 34 17 9 8 57:46 60
4 CD Las Rozas 34 16 8 10 58:42 56
5 Leganes B 34 15 9 10 63:33 54
6 Union Adarve 34 15 8 11 48:42 53
7 CD Mostoles 34 14 9 11 51:45 51
8 San Sebastian Reyes B 34 12 13 9 45:35 49
9 Pozuelo de Alarcon 34 12 12 10 40:33 48
10 Galapagar 34 11 13 10 42:47 46
11 Mexico 34 12 9 13 45:49 45
12 Siello 34 13 5 16 39:45 44
13 Alcorcon B 34 11 11 12 37:34 44
14 Villaverde San Andres 34 10 13 11 32:44 43
15 Carabanchel 34 9 11 14 30:36 38
16 Tres Cantos 34 10 3 21 40:65 33
17 Parla 34 7 6 21 29:66 27
18 Ciudad de Madrid 34 5 7 22 31:76 22
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2025/2026 (Play Offs)