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Siena vs FC Castiglione

Italy Italy

Serie D - Winners stage 2014/2015 Stadio Artemio Franchi
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AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Winners stage 2014/2015 game between Siena and FC Castiglione finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Siena.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Siena
6%
Draws
4%
FC Castiglione
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Siena

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and FC Castiglione come out ahead of Siena on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Siena's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 19%
Over 2.5 Goals 22%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Siena Clean Sheet 68%
FC Castiglione Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Siena FC Castiglione
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 14 15
Draws 9 6
Losses 9 9
Goals Scored 1.13 0
Goals Conceded 0.75 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 28, 2015 Serie D - Winners stage
Siena vs FC Castiglione
2:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Siena 95 / 100
FC Castiglione 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Siena FC Castiglione

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SIE Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Siena found the back of the net in 69% of recent matches (32 games).

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Siena stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Difficult form: FC Castiglione registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Siena VS -
1.13 Goals Scored 0
0.75 Goals Conceded 0
38% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Siena2
FC Castiglione1
Maceratese1
Akragas3
Final
Siena3
Akragas2