Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Siena vs Montevarchi

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group E
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group E game between Siena and Montevarchi finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Siena
22%
Draws
18%
Montevarchi
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Siena

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Siena carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Siena's way, sitting at 60%.
  • Regular Serie D - Group E form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65%
Siena Clean Sheet 20%
Montevarchi Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Siena Montevarchi
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 14 9
Draws 8 14
Losses 8 7
Goals Scored 2.88 0.88
Goals Conceded 1.5 0.38
Expected Goals (xG) 2.88 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 0.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 19, 2026 Serie D - Group E
Siena vs Montevarchi
0:0
Dec 7, 2025 Serie D - Group E
Montevarchi vs Siena
1:0
Jan 12, 2025 Serie D - Group E
Montevarchi vs Siena
0:1
Sep 15, 2024 Serie D - Group E
Siena vs Montevarchi
1:0
Jan 22, 2023 Serie C - Group B
Montevarchi vs Siena
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Siena 58 / 100
Montevarchi 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Siena Montevarchi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SIE Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Siena's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Siena has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Montevarchi's defensive record shows goals conceded in 47% of 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 1.20 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Siena VS Montevarchi
2.88 Goals Scored 0.88
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.38
88% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 0%
75% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Siena

(Home)
10 May
Prato
3 : 1
Siena
03 May
Siena
4 : 4
Sporting Trestina
26 Apr
Camaiore Calcio
2 : 5
Siena
19 Apr
Siena
0 : 0
Montevarchi
12 Apr
Seravezza Pozzi
1 : 4
Siena
Page 1 of 6

Montevarchi

(Away)
03 May
Prato
1 : 0
Montevarchi
26 Apr
Montevarchi
1 : 0
Ghiviborgo
19 Apr
Siena
0 : 0
Montevarchi
12 Apr
Montevarchi
1 : 1
Terranuova Traiana
02 Apr
Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro
0 : 0
Montevarchi
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Grosseto34226658:2572
2Tau34189753:3363
3Prato34205949:2963
4Siena34179857:3560
5Seravezza Pozzi341512742:2957
6Terranuova Traiana341491128:3051
7Foligno341491145:3751
8Scandicci341115839:3248
9Montevarchi341016828:3246
10Sporting Trestina3410121240:4242
11San Donato Tavarnelle349131230:3540
12Ghiviborgo3410101442:4440
13Orvietana349111433:3738
14Follonica Gavorrano349101536:4937
15Camaiore Calcio34981741:5435
16Poggibonsi347101729:4631
17Cannara34682024:5926
18Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro342161620:4622
Promotion - Serie D - Group E (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group E (Play Out)