Sport Picks
Siena vs Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro
Italy
Serie D - Group E 
Match Events
5'
5'
Nardi N.
38'
38'
Ciofi J.
44'
44'
Barbera G.
Own Goal
AI Match Summary
Siena in this Serie D - Group E matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Siena.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
90%
6%
4%
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Siena
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
95%
/ Very High Confidence
- Siena have won more games recently than Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro.
- Win probability leans Siena's way, sitting at 90%.
- Regular Serie D - Group E form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- History favors Siena here — 4 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Siena Clean Sheet 68%
Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Siena | Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 13 | 1 |
| Draws | 8 | 14 |
| Losses | 9 | 15 |
| Goals Scored | 2.63 | 0.75 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.38 | 1.5 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.63 | 0.75 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.38 | 1.50 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Feb 22, 2026 Serie D - Group E
Siena vs Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro
3:1
Oct 19, 2025 Serie D - Group E
Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro vs Siena
0:1
Apr 26, 2015 Serie D - Group E
Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro vs Siena
0:1
Dec 14, 2014 Serie D - Group E
Siena vs Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro
3:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Siena Compare
Top Goalscorer Nardi N.
1 Goals Assists Leader Ciofi J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.02
Avg xA / game 1.31
Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro Compare
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Siena 95 / 100
Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Siena Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick SIE Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Siena found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (30 games).
Defensive concern: Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro conceded in 77% of 30 recent games.
H2H data points to 2.75 goals as a typical output.
Solid form: Siena remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Siena VS Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro
2.63 Goals Scored 0.75
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 25%
75% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Siena
(Home) 10 May
Prato
3 : 1 Siena
03 May
Siena
4 : 4 Sporting Trestina
26 Apr
Camaiore Calcio
2 : 5 Siena
19 Apr
Siena
0 : 0 Montevarchi
12 Apr
Seravezza Pozzi
1 : 4 Siena
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03 May
Siena
4 : 4 Sporting Trestina
19 Apr
Siena
0 : 0 Montevarchi
02 Apr
Siena
1 : 1 Grosseto
22 Mar
Siena
3 : 2 Foligno
01 Mar
Siena
4 : 1 Ghiviborgo
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Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro
(Away) 03 May
Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro
0 : 0 Camaiore Calcio
26 Apr
Orvietana
3 : 2 Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro
19 Apr
Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro
1 : 1 Sporting Trestina
12 Apr
Grosseto
2 : 2 Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro
02 Apr
Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro
0 : 0 Montevarchi
Page 1 of 6
26 Apr
Orvietana
3 : 2 Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro
12 Apr
Grosseto
2 : 2 Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro
29 Mar
Foligno
2 : 0 Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro
25 Mar
Ghiviborgo
2 : 0 Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro
22 Feb
Siena
3 : 1 Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Grosseto | 34 | 22 | 6 | 6 | 58:25 | 72 |
| 2 | Tau | 34 | 18 | 9 | 7 | 53:33 | 63 |
| 3 | Prato | 34 | 20 | 5 | 9 | 49:29 | 63 |
| 4 | Siena | 34 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 57:35 | 60 |
| 5 | Seravezza Pozzi | 34 | 15 | 12 | 7 | 42:29 | 57 |
| 6 | Terranuova Traiana | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 28:30 | 51 |
| 7 | Foligno | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 45:37 | 51 |
| 8 | Scandicci | 34 | 11 | 15 | 8 | 39:32 | 48 |
| 9 | Montevarchi | 34 | 10 | 16 | 8 | 28:32 | 46 |
| 10 | Sporting Trestina | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 40:42 | 42 |
| 11 | San Donato Tavarnelle | 34 | 9 | 13 | 12 | 30:35 | 40 |
| 12 | Ghiviborgo | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 42:44 | 40 |
| 13 | Orvietana | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 33:37 | 38 |
| 14 | Follonica Gavorrano | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 36:49 | 37 |
| 15 | Camaiore Calcio | 34 | 9 | 8 | 17 | 41:54 | 35 |
| 16 | Poggibonsi | 34 | 7 | 10 | 17 | 29:46 | 31 |
| 17 | Cannara | 34 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 24:59 | 26 |
| 18 | Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro | 34 | 2 | 16 | 16 | 20:46 | 22 |
Promotion - Serie D - Group E (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group E (Play Out)
