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Sierra Leone U23 vs Burkina Faso U23 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Africa Africa

Africa Cup of Nations U23
Mon, Sep 28, 2026
VS
05:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The first leg ended 0-0. The second leg of this knockout tie follows. Don't expect fireworks — both sides lean defensive. Burkina Faso U23 have shipped 0.78 goals a game lately, while Sierra Leone U23 have conceded 1 and scored 0.5. Head-to-head, Sierra Leone U23 have won 0 to Burkina Faso U23's 0, with 2 draws. They last met on Oct 6, 2026, ending 0:0. xG projections (0.46 - 0.60) back Burkina Faso U23 to edge this. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Sierra Leone U23
25%
Draws
35%
Burkina Faso U23
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: Sierra Leone U23

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

25% / Low Confidence
  • Burkina Faso U23 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Sierra Leone U23's way, sitting at 36%.
  • Burkina Faso U23 arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63.4%
Sierra Leone U23 Clean Sheet 20%
Burkina Faso U23 Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sierra Leone U23 Burkina Faso U23
Matches Played 2 9
Wins 0 3
Draws 1 2
Losses 1 4
Goals Scored 0.5 0.78
Goals Conceded 1 0.78
Expected Goals (xG) 0.46 0.60
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 6, 2026 Africa Cup of Nations U23
Burkina Faso U23 vs Sierra Leone U23
0:0
Sep 28, 2026 Africa Cup of Nations U23
Sierra Leone U23 vs Burkina Faso U23
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sierra Leone U23 36 / 100
Burkina Faso U23 35 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sierra Leone U23 Burkina Faso U23

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Burkina Faso U23 let in goals in 67% of their last 9 matches.

Difficult form: Burkina Faso U23 registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Sierra Leone U23 scored in 50% of their last 2 outings.

These sides typically produce 0.00 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Sierra Leone U23 VS Burkina Faso U23
0.17 Goals Scored 0.88
0.33 Goals Conceded 0.75
17% Over 1.5 38%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Sierra Leone U23

(Home)
29 Oct
Zambia U23
1 : 0
Sierra Leone U23
22 Oct
Sierra Leone U23
1 : 1
Zambia U23

Burkina Faso U23

(Away)
29 Oct
Senegal U23
1 : 0
Burkina Faso U23
23 Oct
Burkina Faso U23
0 : 0
Senegal U23
27 Sept
Gambia U23
1 : 2
Burkina Faso U23
21 Sept
Burkina Faso U23
0 : 1
Gambia U23
18 Sept
Senegal U23
1 : 0
Burkina Faso U23
Page 1 of 2

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Burkina Faso U23 -
TBD -
TBD -
Zambia U23 -
Mauritania U23 1
D.R. Congo U23 2
TBD -
Nigeria U23 -
Equatorial Guinea U23 -
TBD -
TBD -
Niger U23 -
Togo U23 2
Libya U23 4
TBD -
Ghana U23 -
Tunisia U23 2
Benin U23 1
TBD -
Gabon U23 -
Kenya U23 5
Tanzania U23 4
TBD -
Ivory Coast U23 -
Djibouti U23 2
South Sudan U23 4
TBD -
Senegal U23 -
Ethiopia U23 -
TBD -
TBD -
Morocco U23 -
Rwanda U23 4
Sudan U23 1
TBD -
Cameroon U23 -
Madagascar U23 -
TBD -
TBD -
South Africa U23 -
Angola U23 6
Namibia U23 1
TBD -
Congo U23 -
Seychelles U23 2
Botswana U23 4
TBD -
Guinea U23 -
Malawi U23 1
Eswatini U23 2
TBD -
Algeria U23 -
Zimbabwe U23 6
Mauritius U23 1
TBD -
Mali U23 -
Semi-finals
Burkina Faso U23 -
Zambia U23 -
D.R. Congo U23 -
Nigeria U23 -
Equatorial Guinea U23 -
Niger U23 -
Libya U23 -
Ghana U23 -
Tunisia U23 -
Gabon U23 -
Kenya U23 -
Ivory Coast U23 -
South Sudan U23 -
Senegal U23 -
Ethiopia U23 -
Morocco U23 -
Rwanda U23 -
Cameroon U23 -
Madagascar U23 -
South Africa U23 -
Angola U23 -
Congo U23 -
Botswana U23 -
Guinea U23 -
Eswatini U23 -
Algeria U23 -
Zimbabwe U23 -
Mali U23 -
Final
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -