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Africa

Africa Cup of Nations 2025 Samuel Kanyon Doe Sports Complex

Match Events

44'

Sub

Seri J. In: Traore H. J.

Out: Seri J.

46'

Sub

Kessie F. In: Diomande M.

Out: Kessie F.

68'

Sub

Kouassi J. E. In: Krasso J.

Out: Kouassi J. E.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Sierra Leone host Ivory Coast in the Africa Cup of Nations 2025. Both sides' recent runs tell most of the story. Ivory Coast have shipped 0.88 goals a game lately, while Sierra Leone have conceded 1.25 and scored 0.75. Past meetings favor Ivory Coast slightly — 1-2-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Oct 15, 2024, ending 1:0. Model xG sits at 0.81 vs 1.63, favoring Ivory Coast. Ivory Coast in a double chance market carries the safer edge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%

Sierra Leone

28%

Draws

50%

Ivory Coast

Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Ivory Coast

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence

Ivory Coast has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Sierra Leone.
Model forecasts a 50% win probability edge for Ivory Coast.
League standings and seasonal metrics in Africa Cup of Nations 2025 provide steady trend data.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 14%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22%

Sierra Leone Clean Sheet 14%

Ivory Coast Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Sierra Leone	Ivory Coast
Matches Played	29	35
Wins	8	24
Draws	8	3
Losses	13	8
Goals Scored	0.75	2
Goals Conceded	1.25	0.88
Expected Goals (xG)	0.75	2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.25	0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 15, 2024 Africa Cup of Nations

Sierra Leone vs Ivory Coast

Possession: 59% - 45% Cards: 1 - 3

1:0

Oct 11, 2024 Africa Cup of Nations

Ivory Coast vs Sierra Leone

Possession: 57% - 54% Cards: 1 - 0

4:1

Jan 6, 2024 Friendly International

Ivory Coast vs Sierra Leone

Possession: 56% - 54% Cards: 3 - 1

5:1

Jan 16, 2022 Africa Cup of Nations

Ivory Coast vs Sierra Leone

Possession: 55% - 42% Cards: 0 - 3

2:2

Sep 3, 2016 Africa Cup of Nations

Ivory Coast vs Sierra Leone

Possession: 49% - 45% Cards: 0 - 4

1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sierra Leone Compare

Top Goalscorer Bakayoko A.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.58

Avg xA / game 0.38

Ivory Coast Compare

Avg xG / game 1.82

Avg xA / game 1.11

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sierra Leone 23 / 100

Ivory Coast 59 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Sierra Leone Ivory Coast

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick IVO Win (2)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 0:3

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sierra Leone scored in 79% of their last 29 games.

Ivory Coast let in goals in 43% of their last 35 matches.

Games between these two average 3.60 goals.

Sierra Leone went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Ivory Coast lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sierra Leone VS Ivory Coast

0.75 Goals Scored 2

1.25 Goals Conceded 0.88

50% Over 1.5 75%

50% Over 2.5 50%

25% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Comoros	6	3	3	0	7:4	12
2	Tunisia	6	3	1	2	7:6	10
3	Gambia	6	2	2	2	6:6	8
4	Madagascar	6	0	2	4	4:8	2

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Morocco	6	6	0	0	26:2	18
2	Gabon	6	3	1	2	7:9	10
3	Lesotho	6	1	1	4	2:13	4
4	Central Africa	6	1	0	5	3:14	3

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Egypt	6	4	2	0	12:2	14
2	Botswana	6	2	2	2	4:7	8
3	Mauritania	6	2	1	3	3:6	7
4	Cape Verde	6	1	1	4	3:7	4

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Nigeria	6	3	2	1	9:3	11
2	Benin	6	2	2	2	7:7	8
3	Rwanda	6	2	2	2	5:7	8
4	Libya	6	1	2	3	3:7	5

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Algeria	6	5	1	0	16:2	16
2	Equatorial Guinea	6	2	2	2	5:8	8
3	Togo	6	1	2	3	7:10	5
4	Liberia	6	1	1	4	4:12	4

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Angola	6	4	2	0	7:2	14
2	Sudan	6	2	2	2	4:6	8
3	Niger	6	2	1	3	7:6	7
4	Ghana	6	0	3	3	3:7	3

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Zambia	6	4	1	1	7:4	13
2	Ivory Coast	6	4	0	2	12:3	12
3	Sierra Leone	6	1	2	3	5:10	5
4	Chad	6	0	3	3	1:8	3

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	D.R. Congo	6	4	0	2	7:3	12
2	Tanzania	6	3	1	2	5:4	10
3	Guinea	6	3	0	3	9:5	9
4	Ethiopia	6	1	1	4	3:12	4

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Mali	6	4	2	0	10:1	14
2	Mozambique	6	3	2	1	9:5	11
3	Guinea Bissau	6	1	2	3	4:6	5
4	Eswatini	6	0	2	4	2:13	2

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Cameroon	6	4	2	0	8:2	14
2	Zimbabwe	6	2	3	1	6:4	9
3	Kenya	6	1	3	2	4:7	6
4	Namibia	6	0	2	4	2:7	2

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	South Africa	6	4	2	0	16:5	14
2	Uganda	6	4	1	1	8:5	13
3	Congo	6	1	1	4	4:12	4
4	South Sudan	6	1	0	5	6:12	3

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Senegal	6	5	1	0	10:1	16
2	Burkina Faso	6	3	1	2	10:7	10
3	Burundi	6	1	1	4	4:11	4
4	Malawi	6	1	1	4	6:11	4