Sport Picks

Sierra Leone vs Ivory Coast Prediction & H2H Stats

Africa

Africa Cup of Nations 2025 Samuel Kanyon Doe Sports Complex, Monrovia

Sierra Leone

1 - 0

Ivory Coast

Our Tip

Match Events

44'

Sub

Seri J. In: Traore H. J.

Out: Seri J.

46'

Sub

Kessie F. In: Diomande M.

Out: Kessie F.

68'

Sub

Kouassi J. E. In: Krasso J.

Out: Kouassi J. E.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-0, with Sierra Leone advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%

Sierra Leone

15%

Draws

64%

Ivory Coast

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ivory Coast

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence

Ivory Coast carry the better recent record into this one.
Win probability leans Ivory Coast's way, sitting at 70%.
Ivory Coast arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
Historical meetings favor Sierra Leone, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 29%

Over 4.5 Goals 13%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%

Sierra Leone Clean Sheet 13%

Ivory Coast Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Sierra Leone	Ivory Coast
Matches Played	29	34
Wins	7	24
Draws	7	2
Losses	15	8
Goals Scored	1.1	1.91
Goals Conceded	1.59	0.62
Expected Goals (xG)	0.67	1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 15, 2024 Africa Cup of Nations

Sierra Leone vs Ivory Coast

1:0

Oct 11, 2024 Africa Cup of Nations

Ivory Coast vs Sierra Leone

4:1

Jan 6, 2024 Friendly International

Ivory Coast vs Sierra Leone

5:1

Jan 16, 2022 Africa Cup of Nations

Ivory Coast vs Sierra Leone

2:2

Sep 3, 2016 Africa Cup of Nations

Ivory Coast vs Sierra Leone

1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sierra Leone Compare

Top Goalscorer Bakayoko A.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.52

Avg xA / game 0.34

Ivory Coast Compare

Avg xG / game 1.54

Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sierra Leone 14 / 100

Ivory Coast 77 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Sierra Leone Ivory Coast

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ivory Coast Win (2)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No

Correct Score 0:3

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.60 goals when they meet.

Sierra Leone scored in 76% of their last 29 games.

Defensive concern: Ivory Coast conceded in 41% of 34 recent games.

Solid form: Sierra Leone remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Sierra Leone VS Ivory Coast

0.83 Goals Scored 1.88

1.5 Goals Conceded 0.5

50% Over 1.5 63%

50% Over 2.5 50%

33% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Sierra Leone

(Home)

28 Sept

Equatorial Guinea

1 : 0

Sierra Leone

24 Sept

Sierra Leone

2 : 3

Zimbabwe

09 Jun

Liberia

3 : 1

Sierra Leone

06 Jun

Sierra Leone

1 : 0

Liberia

30 Mar

Azerbaijan

2 : 1

Sierra Leone

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Ivory Coast

(Away)

29 Sept

Somalia

0 : 2

Ivory Coast

24 Sept

Ivory Coast

2 : 0

Ghana

30 Jun

Ivory Coast

1 : 2

Norway

25 Jun

Curacao

0 : 2

Ivory Coast

20 Jun

Germany

2 : 1

Ivory Coast

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