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Sigma Olomouc vs MFK Karvina

Czech Republic Czech Republic

Chance Liga 2025/2026 Andruv stadion
Our Tip

Match Events

26' Event
Sturm D.
Assist: Barath P.
29' Event
Barath P.
Assist: Sylla A.
42'
Conde O.

AI Match Summary

Sigma Olomouc in this Chance Liga 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 4-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sigma Olomouc.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Sigma Olomouc
6%
Draws
4%
MFK Karvina
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Sigma Olomouc

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Sigma Olomouc have won more games recently than MFK Karvina.
  • Sigma Olomouc are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Chance Liga 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Sigma Olomouc Clean Sheet 20%
MFK Karvina Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sigma Olomouc MFK Karvina
Matches Played 29 27
Wins 15 11
Draws 6 3
Losses 8 13
Goals Scored 2.38 1
Goals Conceded 0.75 2
Expected Goals (xG) 2.38 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 23, 2026 Chance Liga
Sigma Olomouc vs MFK Karvina
4:0
May 16, 2026 Chance Liga
MFK Karvina vs Sigma Olomouc
1:3
Mar 15, 2026 Chance Liga
Sigma Olomouc vs MFK Karvina
2:2
Oct 18, 2025 Chance Liga
MFK Karvina vs Sigma Olomouc
1:1
Apr 5, 2025 Chance Liga
Sigma Olomouc vs MFK Karvina
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sigma Olomouc Compare

Top Goalscorer Sturm D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Barath P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.83
Avg xA / game 1.19

MFK Karvina Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sigma Olomouc 85 / 100
MFK Karvina 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sigma Olomouc MFK Karvina

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SIG Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Sigma Olomouc scored in 83% of their last 29 outings.

MFK Karvina has conceded goals in 85% of their last 27 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.40 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Sigma Olomouc stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sigma Olomouc VS MFK Karvina
2.38 Goals Scored 1
0.75 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Sigma Olomouc4
Bohemians 19053
FK Pardubice3
MFK Karvina4
Final
Sigma Olomouc7
MFK Karvina1