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Siheung Citizen vs Ulsan Citizen

South Korea South Korea

K3-K4 League Cup
Siheung Citizen Logo

Siheung Citizen

0 - 1
FT
Ulsan Citizen Logo

Ulsan Citizen

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 0-1. This leg finished 0-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
Siheung Citizen
15%
Draws
36%
Ulsan Citizen
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Siheung Citizen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Siheung Citizen lately — more wins on the board than Ulsan Citizen.
  • 49% — that's where the model lands on Siheung Citizen taking it.
  • Siheung Citizen have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Siheung Citizen, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Siheung Citizen have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Siheung Citizen Clean Sheet 16%
Ulsan Citizen Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Siheung Citizen Ulsan Citizen
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 19 12
Draws 4 5
Losses 6 12
Goals Scored 1.41 1.14
Goals Conceded 1.03 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 13, 2026 K3-K4 League Cup
Siheung Citizen vs Ulsan Citizen
0:1
May 9, 2026 K3 League
Ulsan Citizen vs Siheung Citizen
0:1
Sep 26, 2025 K3 League
Ulsan Citizen vs Siheung Citizen
0:1
May 31, 2025 K3 League
Siheung Citizen vs Ulsan Citizen
2:1
Jul 27, 2024 K3 League
Siheung Citizen vs Ulsan Citizen
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Siheung Citizen 66 / 100
Ulsan Citizen 15 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Siheung Citizen Ulsan Citizen

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Siheung Citizen Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Siheung Citizen scored in 83% of their last 29 games.

Ulsan Citizen's defensive record shows goals conceded in 72% of 29 matches.

H2H data points to 1.60 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Siheung Citizen remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Siheung Citizen VS Ulsan Citizen
1.25 Goals Scored 1.25
1.75 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 38%
50% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Siheung Citizen

(Home)
13 Sept
Siheung Citizen
3 : 1
Changwon
06 Sept
Yangpyeong
1 : 3
Siheung Citizen
30 Aug
Siheung Citizen
3 : 2
Pocheon
23 Aug
Siheung Citizen
2 : 0
Daejeon Korail
29 Jul
Chungnam Asan
2 : 1
Siheung Citizen
Page 1 of 6

Ulsan Citizen

(Away)
11 Sept
Daejeon Korail
0 : 1
Ulsan Citizen
05 Sept
Ulsan Citizen
1 : 2
Gyeongju KHNP
30 Aug
Ulsan Citizen
2 : 1
Busan Kyotong
23 Aug
Jeonbuk 2
0 : 1
Ulsan Citizen
19 Aug
Ulsan Citizen
0 : 1
Gwangju FC
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Yeoju Citizen 0
Busan Kyotong 2
Siheung Citizen 0
Ulsan Citizen 1
Chuncheon 1
Geoje 2
Gyeongju KHNP 2
Pocheon 5
Semi-finals
Busan Kyotong 1
Ulsan Citizen 0
Geoje 1
Pocheon 2
Final
Busan Kyotong 1
Pocheon 0