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Silivrispor vs Sivas Dort

Turkey Turkey

3. Lig Group 3 2023/2024
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Silivrispor play Sivas Dort in the 3. Lig Group 3 2023/2024. It looks like a close match. Recently, Silivrispor averaged 1.42 goals scored and 1.11 conceded. Sivas Dort averaged 0.83 goals scored and 1.63 conceded. In past meetings, Silivrispor won 2, Sivas Dort won 2, and they drew 1. Their last match on Apr 7, 2024 ended 1:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.17 for Silivrispor and 1.06 for Sivas Dort. This points to a Silivrispor double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

54%
Silivrispor
20%
Draws
26%
Sivas Dort
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Silivrispor

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / High Confidence
  • Silivrispor picked up more points recently compared to Sivas Dort.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.17 vs 1.06 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 52%
Over 3.5 Goals 31%
Over 4.5 Goals 16%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 48%
Silivrispor Clean Sheet 22%
Sivas Dort Clean Sheet 12%
First Half Goal 62%
Second Half Goal 66%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Silivrispor Sivas Dort
Matches Played 36 30
Wins 16 6
Draws 8 5
Losses 12 19
Goals Scored 1.42 0.83
Goals Conceded 1.11 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 7, 2024 3. Lig Group 3
Silivrispor vs Sivas Dort
1:0
Nov 26, 2023 3. Lig Group 3
Sivas Dort vs Silivrispor
1:2
Jan 26, 2014 3. Lig Group 1
Sivas Dort vs Silivrispor
4:0
Sep 7, 2013 3. Lig Group 1
Silivrispor vs Sivas Dort
0:0
Apr 7, 2013 3. Lig Group 2
Sivas Dort vs Silivrispor
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Silivrispor Compare

Top Goalscorer Uysal H.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Sivas Dort Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Silivrispor 53 / 100
Sivas Dort 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Silivrispor Sivas Dort

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Silivrispor Win (1)
Secondary Pick Silivrispor & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +17.2%
2.17
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +12.8%
2.17
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Silivrispor attacking → ← attacking Sivas Dort

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Silivrispor scored in 81% of their last 36 games.

Sivas Dort let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Silivrispor went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Sivas Dort lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Match Risk Analysis

Assessing potential disruptors and external variables affecting prediction reliability

Risk Level: Low
Risk Factor

Busy schedule: Managers might rest key players, which can affect team cohesion.

Risk Factor

Regular league game. Both sides need the points to climb the table.

Risk Factor

Pressure: A tense match where mistakes or cards can change things quickly.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

56 Points in last 5 23
1.13 Goals expected (xG) 0.00
1.13 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Karakopru28179251:2460
2Erbaaspor28169355:2157
3Silivrispor28149538:2251
4Bornova 187728155847:3350
5Kusadasispor28129736:2845
6Kutahyaspor281111640:2544
7Tepecik28109929:3039
8Agri 197028109936:3539
9Fatsa Bld.28910924:2737
10Osmaniyespor28851529:3429
111922 Konyaspor28771425:3028
12Bayburt Ozel Idare286101218:3828
13Darica Genclerbirligi28671518:3325
14Akhisarspor28541925:6719
15Sivas Dort28551822:4617