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Sillamae Kalev II vs FC Ararat

Estonia Estonia

Esiliiga B 2015
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Esiliiga B 2015 game between Sillamae Kalev II and FC Ararat finished 9-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sillamae Kalev II.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Sillamae Kalev II
22%
Draws
18%
FC Ararat
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Sillamae Kalev II

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Sillamae Kalev II carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Sillamae Kalev II are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 81%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 96%
Over 1.5 Goals 85.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 81%
Over 3.5 Goals 60.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 27%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Sillamae Kalev II Clean Sheet 10%
FC Ararat Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sillamae Kalev II FC Ararat
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 8 6
Draws 4 4
Losses 20 20
Goals Scored 0.63 2.5
Goals Conceded 3 3.17
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 2.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 3.00 3.17

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 4, 2015 Esiliiga B
Sillamae Kalev II vs FC Ararat
9:3
Aug 13, 2015 Esiliiga B
FC Ararat vs Sillamae Kalev II
3:2
May 17, 2015 Esiliiga B
FC Ararat vs Sillamae Kalev II
2:1
May 3, 2015 Esiliiga B
Sillamae Kalev II vs FC Ararat
2:2
Sep 17, 2014 Esiliiga B
FC Ararat vs Sillamae Kalev II
1:5

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sillamae Kalev II 56 / 100
FC Ararat 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sillamae Kalev II FC Ararat

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SIL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: FC Ararat conceded in 93% of 28 recent games.

Historical meetings average 6.00 goals per match.

Sillamae Kalev II has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Attacking prowess: Sillamae Kalev II scored in 59% of their last 32 outings.

Scoring Trends

Sillamae Kalev II VS FC Ararat
0.63 Goals Scored 2.5
3 Goals Conceded 3.17
88% Over 1.5 83%
75% Over 2.5 83%
38% Over 3.5 83%

Recent Form & Match History

Sillamae Kalev II

(Home)
05 Nov
Viimsi JK
0 : 0
Sillamae Kalev II
29 Oct
Sillamae Kalev II
1 : 1
FC Alliance
18 Oct
Raasiku Joker
0 : 4
Sillamae Kalev II
15 Oct
Sillamae Kalev II
1 : 2
Vandra Vaprus
01 Oct
Sillamae Kalev II
3 : 3
Kalju U21
Page 1 of 7

FC Ararat

(Away)
28 Aug
Parnu JK Vaprus
10 : 0
FC Ararat
30 Jul
Tallinna Smsraha
1 : 3
FC Ararat
25 Aug
FC Ararat
2 : 3
Vastseliina Tannem
10 Jul
Eston Villa II
:
FC Ararat
10 Jul
EstHam United
0 : 6
FC Ararat
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Maardu Linnameeskond36263792:3881
2FC Alliance362010666:2970
3Sillamae Kalev II361961173:5763
4Raasiku Joker3614111166:5753
5Elva361571462:4552
6Tallinna Kalev U21361481460:5550
7Viimsi JK361371656:6446
8Puuma361361760:8945
9FC Ararat36682251:11426
10Flora U1936462643:8118
Promotion - Esiliiga 2016 (Main)
Promotion - Esiliiga 2015 (Relegation)
Relegation - Esiliiga B 2015 (Relegation)