Sport Picks

Estonia

Meistriliiga 2017

Parnu JK Vaprus

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Sillamae Kalev play Parnu JK Vaprus in the Meistriliiga 2017. It looks like a close match. Recently, Sillamae Kalev averaged 1.67 goals scored and 2.26 conceded. Parnu JK Vaprus averaged 1.66 goals scored and 2.28 conceded. In past meetings, Sillamae Kalev won 4, Parnu JK Vaprus won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Sep 30, 2017 ended 2:7. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.60 for Sillamae Kalev and 0.93 for Parnu JK Vaprus. This points to a Sillamae Kalev double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%

Sillamae Kalev

15%

Draws

40%

Parnu JK Vaprus

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sillamae Kalev

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence

Sillamae Kalev picked up more points recently compared to Parnu JK Vaprus.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.60 vs 0.93 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 75%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 88%

Over 2.5 Goals 75%

Over 3.5 Goals 45%

Over 4.5 Goals 23%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 56%

Sillamae Kalev Clean Sheet 24%

Parnu JK Vaprus Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 79%

Second Half Goal 84%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Sillamae Kalev	Parnu JK Vaprus
Matches Played	27	32
Wins	9	12
Draws	3	3
Losses	15	17
Goals Scored	1.67	1.66
Goals Conceded	2.26	2.28

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 30, 2017 Meistriliiga

Parnu JK Vaprus vs Sillamae Kalev

Possession: 58% - 48% Cards: 3 - 4

2:7

Aug 12, 2017 Meistriliiga

Sillamae Kalev vs Parnu JK Vaprus

Possession: 59% - 55% Cards: 2 - 1

9:0

Jun 2, 2017 Meistriliiga

Sillamae Kalev vs Parnu JK Vaprus

Possession: 58% - 42% Cards: 4 - 1

1:3

Apr 1, 2017 Meistriliiga

Parnu JK Vaprus vs Sillamae Kalev

Possession: 56% - 41% Cards: 1 - 1

1:3

Nov 15, 2008 Meistriliiga

Sillamae Kalev vs Parnu JK Vaprus

Possession: 57% - 57% Cards: 1 - 2

3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sillamae Kalev Compare

Top Goalscorer Volkov A.

3 Goals

Assists Leader Grigorevski R.

2 Ast

Avg xG / game 0

Avg xA / game 0

Parnu JK Vaprus Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68

Avg xA / game 0.42

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sillamae Kalev 45 / 100

Parnu JK Vaprus 38 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Sillamae Kalev Parnu JK Vaprus

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Sillamae Kalev or Draw (1X)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +21.5%

2.70

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +8.7%

1.45

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Sillamae Kalev attacking → ← attacking Parnu JK Vaprus

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sillamae Kalev scored in 74% of their last 27 games.

Parnu JK Vaprus let in goals in 81% of their last 32 matches.

Games between these two average 6.20 goals.

Sillamae Kalev went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Parnu JK Vaprus lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

30 Points in last 5 39

0.00 Goals expected (xG) 0.75

0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.00

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Flora	36	28	6	2	100:28	90
2	Levadia	36	25	9	2	106:20	84
3	Kalju	36	24	6	6	101:32	78
4	FCI Tallinn	36	20	5	11	103:47	65
5	Narva	36	13	6	17	46:63	45
6	Paide Linnameeskond	36	10	8	18	47:88	38
7	Tammeka Tartu	36	9	10	17	40:63	37
8	Tulevik	36	8	4	24	34:95	28
9	Parnu JK Vaprus	36	2	2	32	29:146	8
10	Sillamae Kalev	36	10	6	20	52:76	36
11	Parnu Linnameeskond	0	0	0	0	0:0	0