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Silva SD vs Lugo B

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

82' Event
Serrano I.

AI Match Summary

Lugo B in this Tercera RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Lugo B.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Silva SD
35%
Draws
27%
Lugo B
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Silva SD

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Lugo B lately — more wins on the board than Silva SD.
  • Silva SD are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%
Silva SD Clean Sheet 68%
Lugo B Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Silva SD Lugo B
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 8 10
Draws 9 10
Losses 12 10
Goals Scored 1.17 1.2
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 5, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Silva SD vs Lugo B
0:1
Nov 23, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Lugo B vs Silva SD
0:2
Apr 5, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Silva SD vs Lugo B
1:0
Nov 24, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Lugo B vs Silva SD
1:1
Feb 4, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Lugo B vs Silva SD
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Silva SD Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Lugo B Compare

Top Goalscorer Serrano I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Silva SD 51 / 100
Lugo B 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Silva SD Lugo B

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Silva SD went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Silva SD's goal record stands at 72% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Lugo B let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.60 goals.

Scoring Trends

Silva SD VS Lugo B
2 Goals Scored 1
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.5
75% Over 1.5 38%
63% Over 2.5 25%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Silva SD

(Home)
06 Sept
Silva SD
1 : 1
Celtiga
09 May
Atletico Arteixo
2 : 2
Silva SD
03 May
Silva SD
5 : 2
Noia
26 Apr
Racing Club Villalbes
0 : 3
Silva SD
19 Apr
Silva SD
3 : 1
Barbadas-Bentraces
Page 1 of 6

Lugo B

(Away)
10 May
Racing Club Villalbes
2 : 1
Lugo B
03 May
Lugo B
5 : 1
Barbadas-Bentraces
26 Apr
Alondras
0 : 4
Lugo B
19 Apr
Viveiro
0 : 0
Lugo B
11 Apr
Lugo B
0 : 0
Gran Pena
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Arosa SC 34 20 10 4 58:35 70
2 Compostela 34 19 11 4 55:28 68
3 Atletico Arteixo 34 16 10 8 54:44 58
4 Estradense 34 14 11 9 46:33 53
5 Racing Club Villalbes 34 13 13 8 36:29 52
6 Gran Pena 34 13 12 9 57:42 51
7 Somozas 34 13 12 9 37:32 51
8 CD Boiro 34 13 12 9 45:29 51
9 Lugo B 34 12 12 10 41:35 48
10 Montaneros 34 12 12 10 48:42 48
11 Barco 34 13 7 14 35:41 46
12 Alondras 34 12 9 13 45:48 45
13 Celtiga 34 11 7 16 47:48 40
14 Viveiro 34 9 11 14 27:41 38
15 Silva SD 34 9 9 16 36:48 36
16 Cambados 34 4 14 16 24:43 26
17 Noia 34 6 7 21 28:57 25
18 Barbadas-Bentraces 34 4 7 23 25:69 19
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 (Play Offs)