Sport Picks
Match Events
23'
23'
Kagere M.
(Penalty)
39'
39'
Kiggi M.
44'
44'
Kagere M.
AI Match Summary
Simba in this Ligi Kuu Bara 2019/2020 matchup, with the score ending 5-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Simba.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
52%
20%
28%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Simba
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
52%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to Simba lately — more wins on the board than Alliance.
- Win probability leans Simba's way, sitting at 90%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors Simba here — 4 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Simba Clean Sheet 20%
Alliance Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Simba | Alliance |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 32 | 30 |
| Wins | 27 | 9 |
| Draws | 4 | 7 |
| Losses | 1 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 2.16 | 0.97 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.41 | 1.4 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.54 | 0.56 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jul 19, 2020 Ligi Kuu Bara
Simba vs Alliance
5:1
Jan 19, 2020 Ligi Kuu Bara
Alliance vs Simba
1:4
Apr 23, 2019 Ligi Kuu Bara
Alliance vs Simba
0:2
Oct 24, 2018 Ligi Kuu Bara
Simba vs Alliance
5:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Simba Compare
Top Goalscorer Kagere M.
1 Goals Assists Leader Miquissone L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.18
Avg xA / game 0.77
Alliance Compare
Top Goalscorer Kiggi M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.51
Avg xA / game 0.31
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Simba 85 / 100
Alliance 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Simba Alliance
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Simba Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Simba found the back of the net in 88% of recent matches (32 games).
Alliance has conceded goals in 83% of their last 30 outings.
Games between these two average 4.75 goals.
Simba has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Simba VS -
1.88 Goals Scored 0
0.13 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Simba
(Home) 16 Sept
Azam
0 : 2 Simba
13 Sept
Simba
6 : 1 Mighty Wanderers FC
06 Sept
Mighty Wanderers FC
0 : 1 Simba
31 Aug
Simba
2 : 0 Geita Gold
27 Aug
Simba
1 : 0 Coastal Union
Page 1 of 7
13 Sept
Simba
6 : 1 Mighty Wanderers FC
31 Aug
Simba
2 : 0 Geita Gold
27 Aug
Simba
1 : 0 Coastal Union
12 Aug
Simba
0 : 1 Young Africans
25 Jul
Simba
0 : 0 Mogadishu City
Page 1 of 4
Alliance
(Away) 26 Jul
Alliance
3 : 2 Namungo
23 Jul
Alliance
2 : 2 Ndanda
19 Jul
Simba
5 : 1 Alliance
15 Jul
JKT Tanzania
1 : 1 Alliance
09 Jul
Alliance
2 : 0 Lipuli
Page 1 of 6
19 Jul
Simba
5 : 1 Alliance
15 Jul
JKT Tanzania
1 : 1 Alliance
20 Jun
Mbeya City
0 : 1 Alliance
15 Mar
Kinondoni MC
2 : 1 Alliance
11 Mar
Tanzania Prisons
1 : 0 Alliance
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Simba | 38 | 27 | 7 | 4 | 78:21 | 88 |
| 2 | Young Africans | 38 | 19 | 15 | 4 | 45:28 | 72 |
| 3 | Azam | 38 | 20 | 10 | 8 | 52:26 | 70 |
| 4 | Namungo | 38 | 17 | 13 | 8 | 46:37 | 64 |
| 5 | Polisi Tanzania | 38 | 15 | 10 | 13 | 37:35 | 55 |
| 6 | JKT Tanzania | 38 | 13 | 15 | 10 | 34:32 | 54 |
| 7 | Coastal Union | 38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 33:30 | 53 |
| 8 | Kagera Sugar | 38 | 15 | 7 | 16 | 44:41 | 52 |
| 9 | Biashara Mara United | 38 | 12 | 14 | 12 | 29:27 | 50 |
| 10 | Tanzania Prisons | 38 | 10 | 19 | 9 | 35:30 | 49 |
| 11 | Mwadui | 38 | 12 | 11 | 15 | 39:45 | 47 |
| 12 | Ruvu Shooting | 38 | 12 | 11 | 15 | 34:42 | 47 |
| 13 | Kinondoni MC | 38 | 13 | 7 | 18 | 35:47 | 46 |
| 14 | Mtibwa Sugar | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 30:34 | 45 |
| 15 | Mbeya City | 38 | 12 | 9 | 17 | 33:42 | 45 |
| 16 | Mbao | 38 | 12 | 9 | 17 | 33:43 | 45 |
| 17 | Alliance | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 36:48 | 45 |
| 18 | Lipuli | 38 | 12 | 8 | 18 | 43:51 | 44 |
| 19 | Ndanda | 38 | 9 | 14 | 15 | 28:35 | 41 |
| 20 | Singida United | 38 | 4 | 6 | 28 | 23:73 | 18 |
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2020/2021 (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2020/2021 (Qualification)
Relegation - Ligi Kuu Bara 2019/2020 (Relegation)
