Sport Picks
Simba vs Fountain Gate
Tanzania
Ligi Kuu Bara 2025/2026 KMC Stadium, Dar es Salaam 
Match Events
6'
6'
De Reuck R.
Assist: Ahoua J. C.
37'
37'
Ahoua J. C.
Assist: Kagoma Y.
46'
46'
Sub
Kibu D. In: Abraham M.
Out: Kibu D.
AI Match Summary
Simba in this Ligi Kuu Bara 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Simba.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
90%
6%
4%
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Simba
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
95%
/ Very High Confidence
- Simba have won more games recently than Fountain Gate.
- Simba are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors Simba here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 27%
Over 4.5 Goals 12%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 24.8%
Simba Clean Sheet 68%
Fountain Gate Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Simba | Fountain Gate |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 36 | 30 |
| Wins | 24 | 9 |
| Draws | 11 | 6 |
| Losses | 1 | 15 |
| Goals Scored | 2.38 | 1.14 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.25 | 1.57 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.38 | 1.14 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 0.25 | 1.57 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 15, 2026 Ligi Kuu Bara
Fountain Gate vs Simba
0:3
Sep 25, 2025 Ligi Kuu Bara
Simba vs Fountain Gate
3:0
Feb 6, 2025 Ligi Kuu Bara
Fountain Gate vs Simba
1:1
Aug 25, 2024 Ligi Kuu Bara
Simba vs Fountain Gate
4:0
Mar 12, 2024 Ligi Kuu Bara
Simba vs Fountain Gate
3:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Simba Compare
Top Goalscorer De Reuck R.
1 Goals Assists Leader Ahoua J. C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.83
Avg xA / game 1.19
Fountain Gate Compare
Avg xG / game 1.04
Avg xA / game 0.63
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Simba 95 / 100
Fountain Gate 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Simba Fountain Gate
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick SIM Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: Fountain Gate conceded in 80% of 30 recent games.
H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.
Simba has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Simba found the back of the net in 78% of recent matches (36 games).
Scoring Trends
Simba VS Fountain Gate
2.38 Goals Scored 1.14
0.25 Goals Conceded 1.57
75% Over 1.5 71%
63% Over 2.5 43%
25% Over 3.5 29%
Recent Form & Match History
Simba
(Home) 31 Jul
Singida Black Stars
1 : 2 Simba
28 Jul
Jamus
0 : 0 Simba
25 Jul
Simba
0 : 0 Mogadishu City
04 Jul
Simba
1 : 0 Azam
30 Jun
Simba
1 : 0 Kinondoni MC
Page 1 of 8
25 Jul
Simba
0 : 0 Mogadishu City
04 Jul
Simba
1 : 0 Azam
30 Jun
Simba
1 : 0 Kinondoni MC
27 Jun
Simba
2 : 0 Singida Black Stars
20 Jun
Simba
4 : 0 Coastal Union
Page 1 of 4
Fountain Gate
(Away) 30 Jun
Fountain Gate
4 : 3 Singida Black Stars
27 Jun
Namungo
0 : 0 Fountain Gate
24 Jun
Fountain Gate
0 : 1 Mashujaa
18 Jun
Fountain Gate
0 : 2 Young Africans
12 Jun
Fountain Gate
0 : 2 Azam
Page 1 of 6
27 Jun
Namungo
0 : 0 Fountain Gate
24 May
TRA United
1 : 2 Fountain Gate
21 May
JKT Tanzania
2 : 2 Fountain Gate
14 May
Tanzania Prisons
1 : 0 Fountain Gate
10 May
Kinondoni MC
2 : 3 Fountain Gate
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Young Africans | 30 | 23 | 6 | 1 | 71:9 | 75 |
| 2 | Simba | 30 | 22 | 7 | 1 | 54:11 | 73 |
| 3 | Azam | 30 | 18 | 10 | 2 | 46:12 | 64 |
| 4 | Singida Black Stars | 30 | 15 | 5 | 10 | 47:35 | 50 |
| 5 | TRA United | 30 | 11 | 10 | 9 | 33:28 | 43 |
| 6 | JKT Tanzania | 30 | 10 | 12 | 8 | 30:33 | 42 |
| 7 | Pamba | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 32:35 | 36 |
| 8 | Coastal Union | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 31:37 | 36 |
| 9 | Dodoma Jiji | 30 | 8 | 11 | 11 | 25:36 | 35 |
| 10 | Namungo | 30 | 7 | 13 | 10 | 25:32 | 34 |
| 11 | Mashujaa | 30 | 7 | 12 | 11 | 15:27 | 33 |
| 12 | Fountain Gate | 30 | 9 | 6 | 15 | 25:44 | 33 |
| 13 | Tanzania Prisons | 30 | 9 | 5 | 16 | 23:41 | 32 |
| 14 | Mbeya City | 30 | 7 | 9 | 14 | 24:41 | 30 |
| 15 | Mtibwa Sugar | 30 | 6 | 9 | 15 | 25:48 | 27 |
| 16 | Kinondoni MC | 30 | 2 | 3 | 25 | 16:53 | 9 |
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2026/2027 (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2026/2027 (Qualification)
Relegation - Ligi Kuu Bara 2025/2026 (Relegation)
