Sport Picks
Simba vs Geita Gold
Tanzania
Ligi Kuu Bara 2023/2024 Benjamin Mkapa National Stadium, Dar es Salaam 
Match Events
10'
10'
Luzendaze G.
45'
45'
Ntibazonkiza S.
(Penalty)
68'
68'
Onditi S.
AI Match Summary
The Ligi Kuu Bara 2023/2024 game between Simba and Geita Gold finished 4-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Simba.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
67%
15%
18%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Simba
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
67%
/ High Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Simba come out ahead of Geita Gold on wins alone.
- Simba are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- Regular Ligi Kuu Bara 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors Simba here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 16.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 7%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 25.200000000000003%
Simba Clean Sheet 68%
Geita Gold Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Simba | Geita Gold |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 35 | 30 |
| Wins | 30 | 7 |
| Draws | 4 | 7 |
| Losses | 1 | 16 |
| Goals Scored | 2.06 | 0.8 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.4 | 1.27 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.17 | 0.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 31, 2026 Ligi Kuu Bara
Simba vs Geita Gold
2:0
May 21, 2024 Ligi Kuu Bara
Simba vs Geita Gold
4:1
Feb 12, 2024 Ligi Kuu Bara
Geita Gold vs Simba
0:1
Dec 18, 2022 Ligi Kuu Bara
Geita Gold vs Simba
0:5
Aug 17, 2022 Ligi Kuu Bara
Simba vs Geita Gold
3:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Simba Compare
Top Goalscorer Chasambi L.
2 Goals Assists Leader Ntibazonkiza S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.9
Avg xA / game 0.58
Geita Gold Compare
Top Goalscorer Luzendaze G.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Simba 95 / 100
Geita Gold 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Simba Geita Gold
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Simba Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Simba's goal record stands at 89% scoring rate across 35 recent games.
These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.
Recent resilience: Simba stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.
Geita Gold let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.
Scoring Trends
Simba VS Geita Gold
1 Goals Scored 1.5
0.25 Goals Conceded 1.33
38% Over 1.5 50%
13% Over 2.5 33%
0% Over 3.5 33%
Recent Form & Match History
Simba
(Home) 16 Sept
Azam
0 : 2 Simba
13 Sept
Simba
6 : 1 Mighty Wanderers FC
06 Sept
Mighty Wanderers FC
0 : 1 Simba
31 Aug
Simba
2 : 0 Geita Gold
27 Aug
Simba
1 : 0 Coastal Union
Page 1 of 7
13 Sept
Simba
6 : 1 Mighty Wanderers FC
31 Aug
Simba
2 : 0 Geita Gold
27 Aug
Simba
1 : 0 Coastal Union
12 Aug
Simba
0 : 1 Young Africans
25 Jul
Simba
0 : 0 Mogadishu City
Page 1 of 4
Geita Gold
(Away) 15 Sept
Young Africans
1 : 0 Geita Gold
31 Aug
Simba
2 : 0 Geita Gold
28 Aug
Geita Gold
2 : 2 Azam
22 Aug
Geita Gold
6 : 2 Kagera Sugar
18 Aug
Namungo
1 : 0 Geita Gold
Page 1 of 6
15 Sept
Young Africans
1 : 0 Geita Gold
31 Aug
Simba
2 : 0 Geita Gold
18 Aug
Namungo
1 : 0 Geita Gold
14 Aug
Mbeya City
0 : 1 Geita Gold
25 May
Fountain Gate
2 : 1 Geita Gold
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Young Africans | 30 | 26 | 2 | 2 | 71:14 | 80 |
| 2 | Azam | 30 | 21 | 6 | 3 | 63:21 | 69 |
| 3 | Simba | 30 | 21 | 6 | 3 | 59:25 | 69 |
| 4 | Coastal Union | 30 | 11 | 10 | 9 | 22:19 | 43 |
| 5 | Kinondoni MC | 30 | 8 | 13 | 9 | 27:39 | 37 |
| 6 | Namungo | 30 | 8 | 12 | 10 | 27:29 | 36 |
| 7 | Singida Black Stars | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 29:36 | 36 |
| 8 | Mashujaa | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 30:33 | 35 |
| 9 | Tanzania Prisons | 30 | 7 | 13 | 10 | 29:35 | 34 |
| 10 | Kagera Sugar | 30 | 7 | 13 | 10 | 23:32 | 34 |
| 11 | Fountain Gate | 30 | 8 | 9 | 13 | 29:39 | 33 |
| 12 | Dodoma Jiji | 30 | 8 | 9 | 13 | 19:32 | 33 |
| 13 | JKT Tanzania | 30 | 6 | 14 | 10 | 21:30 | 32 |
| 14 | TRA United | 30 | 5 | 12 | 13 | 20:41 | 27 |
| 15 | Geita Gold | 30 | 5 | 10 | 15 | 18:38 | 25 |
| 16 | Mtibwa Sugar | 30 | 5 | 6 | 19 | 30:54 | 21 |
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2024/2025 (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2024/2025 (Qualification)
Relegation - Ligi Kuu Bara 2023/2024 (Relegation)
