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Simba vs Groupe Bazano

DR Congo DR Congo

Ligue 1
Wed, Dec 10, 2025
3 - 0
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Simba host Groupe Bazano in the Ligue 1. Little to choose between these two on current form. Simba have averaged 0.82 scored and 1.18 conceded recently, against Groupe Bazano's 0.87 scored and 1.27 conceded. Past meetings favor Simba slightly — 2-1-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Feb 25, 2026, ending 1:1. xG projections (1.06 - 1.31) back Groupe Bazano to edge this. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Simba
35%
Draws
32%
Groupe Bazano
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

33% / Low Confidence
  • Simba haven't matched Groupe Bazano's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Simba a 33% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Simba Clean Sheet 18%
Groupe Bazano Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Simba Groupe Bazano
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 6 7
Draws 10 9
Losses 12 14
Goals Scored 0.82 0.87
Goals Conceded 1.18 1.27
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 25, 2026 Ligue 1
Groupe Bazano vs Simba
1:1
Dec 10, 2025 Ligue 1
Simba vs Groupe Bazano
3:0
Mar 27, 2025 Ligue 1
Simba vs Groupe Bazano
1:1
Oct 15, 2024 Ligue 1
Groupe Bazano vs Simba
3:0
May 3, 2024 Ligue 1
Simba vs Groupe Bazano
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Simba 40 / 100
Groupe Bazano 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Simba Groupe Bazano

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Simba Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Groupe Bazano has conceded goals in 80% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

Simba has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Simba's goal record stands at 50% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Simba VS Groupe Bazano
0.63 Goals Scored 1.5
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.5
50% Over 1.5 100%
13% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Simba

(Home)
20 Jun
Simba
2 : 1
AS Maniema
17 Jun
Simba
0 : 0
AS Vita Club
14 Jun
Aigles du Congo
1 : 0
Simba
10 Jun
Celeste
1 : 1
Simba
06 Jun
Simba
0 : 3
St Eloi Lupopo
Page 1 of 6

Groupe Bazano

(Away)
12 Apr
St Eloi Lupopo
2 : 0
Groupe Bazano
10 Apr
Groupe Bazano
3 : 1
New Soger
27 Mar
Saint-Luc
1 : 1
Groupe Bazano
15 Mar
Tanganyika
2 : 1
Groupe Bazano
10 Mar
Blessing
0 : 0
Groupe Bazano
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mazembe 30 23 4 3 57:12 73
2 St Eloi Lupopo 30 19 6 5 55:27 63
3 Don Bosco 30 16 8 6 43:24 56
4 Simba 30 14 8 8 33:27 50
5 Manika 30 12 12 6 31:20 48
6 Tanganyika 30 13 5 12 38:32 44
7 Lubumbashi Sport 30 11 10 9 27:26 43
8 Blessing 30 11 7 12 33:31 40
9 Sanga Balende 30 10 6 14 25:34 36
10 Saint-Luc 30 9 8 13 21:33 35
11 Malole 30 9 6 15 34:39 33
12 New Soger 30 9 6 15 29:40 33
13 Tshinkunku 30 7 10 13 23:41 31
14 Groupe Bazano 30 7 9 14 26:38 30
15 Tshikas 30 6 10 14 25:40 28
16 US Panda 30 5 1 24 17:59 16
Promotion - Ligue 1 (Championship Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 AS Maniema 27 13 13 1 38:10 52
2 AS Vita Club 27 13 11 3 35:13 50
3 Aigles du Congo 26 13 9 4 32:16 48
4 Dauphins Noirs 26 13 6 7 35:20 45
5 Celeste 26 12 8 6 36:13 44
6 Etoile de Kivu 26 10 6 10 34:35 36
7 Motema Pembe 26 7 14 5 33:25 35
8 Anges Verts 26 6 11 9 26:32 29
9 New Jack 26 6 11 9 20:26 29
10 AC Rangers 27 7 8 12 21:35 29
11 FC MK Etancheite 26 6 8 12 15:35 26
12 FC Renaissance 27 4 13 10 21:40 25
13 OC Renaissance 26 4 10 12 14:33 22
14 Bukavu Dawa 26 2 8 16 10:37 14
15 Martin Pecheur 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Ligue 1 (Championship Group)