Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Simba vs Malole

DR Congo DR Congo

Ligue 1
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Ligue 1 game between Simba and Malole finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Simba.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Simba
33%
Draws
40%
Malole
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Malole

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Simba have managed 0.75 goals a game lately — Malole are scoring more at 2.25.
  • 40% — that's where the model lands on Malole taking it.
  • Regular Ligue 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.8%
Simba Clean Sheet 14%
Malole Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Simba Malole
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 9 9
Draws 11 6
Losses 13 15
Goals Scored 0.75 2.25
Goals Conceded 1 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 16, 2026 Ligue 1
Simba vs Malole
3:1
Dec 22, 2025 Ligue 1
Malole vs Simba
1:0
Mar 23, 2025 Ligue 1
Malole vs Simba
1:0
Dec 10, 2024 Ligue 1
Simba vs Malole
5:0
Oct 19, 2024 Ligue 1
Malole vs Simba
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Simba 27 / 100
Malole 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Simba Malole

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MAL Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Malole conceded in 73% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Simba has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Simba found the back of the net in 55% of recent matches (33 games).

Scoring Trends

Simba VS Malole
0.75 Goals Scored 2.25
1 Goals Conceded 1.75
50% Over 1.5 100%
13% Over 2.5 100%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Simba

(Home)
20 Jun
Simba
2 : 1
AS Maniema
17 Jun
Simba
0 : 0
AS Vita Club
14 Jun
Aigles du Congo
1 : 0
Simba
10 Jun
Celeste
1 : 1
Simba
06 Jun
Simba
0 : 3
St Eloi Lupopo
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Malole

(Away)
22 Apr
Malole
1 : 2
Sanga Balende
15 Apr
Malole
3 : 0
Blessing
02 Apr
Don Bosco
4 : 2
Malole
29 Mar
Malole
3 : 1
Tanganyika
25 Mar
Saint-Luc
1 : 1
Malole
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Mazembe30234357:1273
2St Eloi Lupopo30196555:2763
3Don Bosco30168643:2456
4Simba30148833:2750
5Manika301212631:2048
6Tanganyika301351238:3244
7Lubumbashi Sport301110927:2643
8Blessing301171233:3140
9Sanga Balende301061425:3436
10Saint-Luc30981321:3335
11Malole30961534:3933
12New Soger30961529:4033
13Tshinkunku307101323:4131
14Groupe Bazano30791426:3830
15Tshikas306101425:4028
16US Panda30512417:5916
Promotion - Ligue 1 (Championship Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1AS Maniema271313138:1052
2AS Vita Club271311335:1350
3Aigles du Congo26139432:1648
4Dauphins Noirs26136735:2045
5Celeste26128636:1344
6Etoile de Kivu261061034:3536
7Motema Pembe26714533:2535
8Anges Verts26611926:3229
9New Jack26611920:2629
10AC Rangers27781221:3529
11FC MK Etancheite26681215:3526
12FC Renaissance274131021:4025
13OC Renaissance264101214:3322
14Bukavu Dawa26281610:3714
15Martin Pecheur00000:00
Promotion - Ligue 1 (Championship Group)