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Simba vs New Soger - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

DR Congo DR Congo

Ligue 1
Fri, Oct 30, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Simba host New Soger in the Ligue 1. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Simba have averaged 0.63 scored and 1.13 conceded recently, against New Soger's 1 scored and 1.31 conceded. Past meetings favor Simba slightly — 3-0-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jan 21, 2026, ending 1:0. xG projections (0.92 - 1.19) back New Soger to edge this. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

54%
Simba
30%
Draws
16%
New Soger
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Simba

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • New Soger have won more games recently than Simba.
  • Model gives Simba a 54% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Simba here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.2%
Simba Clean Sheet 20%
New Soger Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Simba New Soger
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 5 9
Draws 11 7
Losses 14 13
Goals Scored 0.63 1
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.31
Expected Goals (xG) 0.92 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 21, 2026 Ligue 1
Simba vs New Soger
1:0
Oct 30, 2025 Ligue 1
New Soger vs Simba
0:1
Feb 26, 2017 Ligue 1
Simba vs New Soger
2:0
Sep 28, 2016 Ligue 1
New Soger vs Simba
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Simba 85 / 100
New Soger 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Simba New Soger

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Simba Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

New Soger let in goals in 66% of their last 29 matches.

H2H data points to 1.50 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Simba remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

New Soger's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Simba VS New Soger
0.63 Goals Scored 0
1.38 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Simba

(Home)
20 Oct
Simba
2 : 0
Saint-Luc
22 Aug
Simba
0 : 0
Power Dynamos
21 Aug
Simba
0 : 1
Red Arrows
20 Aug
Simba
0 : 1
Zesco
20 Jun
Simba
2 : 1
AS Maniema
Page 1 of 6

New Soger

(Away)
20 Oct
St Eloi Lupopo
0 : 0
New Soger
15 Apr
New Soger
0 : 3
Mazembe
10 Apr
Groupe Bazano
3 : 1
New Soger
02 Apr
St Eloi Lupopo
4 : 1
New Soger
30 Mar
New Soger
1 : 1
Tshikas
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Simba 1 1 0 0 2:0 3
2 Tanganyika 1 1 0 0 2:1 3
3 Don Bosco 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
4 Malole 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
5 St Eloi Lupopo 1 0 1 0 0:0 1
6 Sanga Balende 1 0 1 0 0:0 1
7 New Soger 1 0 1 0 0:0 1
8 Manika 1 0 1 0 0:0 1
9 Mazembe 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
10 Lubumbashi Sport 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
11 Butras 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
12 Blessing 1 0 0 1 1:2 0
13 Saint-Luc 1 0 0 1 0:2 0
Promotion - Ligue 1 (Championship Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Anges Verts 1 1 0 0 2:0 3
2 Etoile du Congo 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
3 FC MK Etancheite 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
4 Celeste 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
5 Dauphins Noirs 1 0 1 0 0:0 1
6 AC Rangers 1 0 1 0 0:0 1
7 AS Vita Club 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
8 AS Maniema 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
9 Etoile de Kivu 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
10 FC Renaissance 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
11 Novakin 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
12 Aigles du Congo 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
13 New Jack 1 0 0 1 0:2 0
Promotion - Ligue 1 (Championship Group)